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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Norwich
S U S S S
3–2
Full-time
Bristol City
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
63%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 2. · Bristol City 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 9 6 2 1 +12 20
2 Norwich 8 5 1 2 +6 16
3 Blackburn 9 5 0 4 +0 15
4 Reading 8 5 0 3 -2 15
5 Burnley 9 3 5 1 +6 14
6 Bristol City 8 4 2 2 +5 14
7 Watford 9 3 4 2 +0 13
8 Wigan 8 3 4 1 -1 13
9 Preston 9 2 6 1 +1 12
10 Sunderland 8 3 2 3 +2 11
11 QPR 8 3 2 3 +1 11
12 Stoke 9 3 2 4 +0 11
13 Blackpool 8 3 2 3 -1 11
14 Cardiff 9 3 2 4 -3 11
15 Hull 9 3 2 4 -7 11
16 Rotherham 7 2 4 1 +3 10
17 Millwall 8 3 1 4 -2 10
18 West Brom 8 1 6 1 +2 9
19 Luton 8 2 3 3 -1 9
20 Middlesbrough 9 2 3 4 -2 9
21 Swansea 9 2 3 4 -5 9
22 Birmingham 8 2 2 4 -3 8
23 Huddersfield 8 1 1 6 -5 4
24 Coventry 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Bristol City
1–0 T. Pukki
K. McLean
11′
2–0 T. Pukki
A. Ramsey
23′
44′
T. Conway 2–1
N. Wells
Half-time 2–1
O. Hernández 🔁
↦ T. Cantwell
60′
Gabriel Sara 🔁
↦ A. Ramsey
60′
3–1 J. Sargent
Gabriel Sara
65′
68′
🔁 A. Semenyo
↦ M. Sykes
D. Sinani 🔁
↦ T. Pukki
76′
76′
🔁 J. Williams
↦ T. Conway
77′
A. Semenyo 3–2
J. Williams
B. Gibson 🔁
↦ G. Hanley
84′
K. Dowell 🔁
↦ M. Núñez
85′
85′
🔁 C. Martin
↦ R. Atkinson
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 T. Krul G
2 M. Aarons D
4 A. Omobamidele D
5 G. Hanley D
3 S. Byram D
26 M. Núñez M
23 K. McLean M
24 J. Sargent M
20 A. Ramsey M
14 T. Cantwell M
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (7)
25 O. Hernández
17 Gabriel Sara
21 D. Sinani
6 B. Gibson
10 K. Dowell
9 J. Hugill
33 M. McGovern

Coach: D. Smith

Bristol City

3-4-1-2
1 D. Bentley G
26 Z. Vyner D
4 K. Naismith D
5 R. Atkinson D
17 M. Sykes M
6 M. James M
7 A. Scott M
3 J. Dasilva M
14 A. Weimann F
21 N. Wells F
15 T. Conway F
Bench (7)
11 A. Semenyo
8 J. Williams
9 C. Martin
30 H. Massengo
12 M. O’Leary
19 G. Tanner
10 A. King

Coach: N. Pearson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,99
B
4,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.