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Champions League
Referee: I Kružliak
Chelsea
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Salzburg
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,3
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
17 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Chelsea Salzburg
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Gourna-Douath
↦ M. Kjærgaard
1–0 R. Sterling ⚽
P. Aubameyang
48′
A. Broja 🔁
↦ P. Aubameyang
66′
R. Loftus-Cheek 🔁
↦ K. Havertz
66′
70′
🔁 D. Kameri
↦ L. Sučić
70′
🔁 J. Adamu
↦ B. Šeško
75′
⚽ N. Okafor 1–1
J. Adamu
76′
🟨 Chukwubuike Adamu
77′
🟨 Strahinja Pavlović
78′
🟨 Andreas Ulmer
Reece James 🟨
79′
C. Gallagher 🔁
↦ M. Kovačić
81′
H. Ziyech 🔁
↦ César Azpilicueta
81′
C. Pulišić 🔁
↦ R. Sterling
84′
85′
🔁 S. Koïta
↦ N. Oka
89′
🟨 Nicolás Capaldo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Chelsea

3-5-2
1 Kepa G
28 César Azpilicueta D
6 Thiago Silva D
32 Marc Cucurella D
24 R. James M
19 M. Mount M
5 Jorginho M
8 M. Kovačić M
17 R. Sterling M
9 P. Aubameyang F
29 K. Havertz F
Bench (12)
18 A. Broja
12 R. Loftus-Cheek
23 C. Gallagher
22 H. Ziyech
10 C. Pulišić
20 D. Zakaria
26 K. Koulibaly
30 C. Chukwuemeka
13 M. Bettinelli
33 W. Fofana
21 B. Chilwell
14 T. Chalobah

Coach: G. Potter

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
70 A. Dedić D
95 Bernardo D
31 S. Pavlović D
17 A. Ulmer D
7 N. Capaldo M
13 N. Seiwald M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
21 L. Sučić M
30 B. Šeško F
77 N. Okafor F
Bench (11)
27 L. Gourna-Douath
8 D. Kameri
9 J. Adamu
20 S. Koïta
33 A. Walke
4 K. Piątkowski
2 I. Van der Brempt
23 R. Šimić
24 Y. Diarra
1 N. Mantl
6 S. Baidoo

Coach: M. Jaissle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.