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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Sp Lisbon

T U S S S

1–2

Full-time

Porto

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

0,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 69%

63%

74%

Points per game

2,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

74%

47%

Both score Ø 42%

42%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

2,1

2,4

Conceded

1,0

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 4. · Porto 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	20	17	2	1	+39	53
2	Porto	19	14	3	2	+34	45
3	Sp Braga	19	14	1	4	+24	43
4	Sp Lisbon	19	12	2	5	+20	38
5	Guimaraes	20	10	3	7	-1	33
6	Casa Pia	19	9	3	7	-2	30
7	Arouca	20	8	6	6	-5	30
8	Chaves	20	6	8	6	-5	26
9	Vizela	20	7	4	9	+2	25
10	Boavista	19	7	4	8	-8	25
11	Portimonense	20	7	2	11	-10	23
12	Estoril	19	6	4	9	-6	22
13	Gil Vicente	20	6	4	10	-7	22
14	Rio Ave	19	5	6	8	-6	21
15	Famalicao	20	6	3	11	-10	21
16	Santa Clara	20	3	6	11	-12	15
17	Maritimo	19	3	4	12	-23	13
18	Pacos Ferreira	20	2	3	15	-24	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	9	1	0	+24	28
2	Porto	9	8	0	1	+25	24
3	Sp Lisbon	9	8	0	1	+21	24
4	Guimaraes	11	7	2	2	+5	23
5	Sp Braga	9	6	1	2	+13	19
6	Arouca	11	6	1	4	+1	19
7	Boavista	10	5	3	2	+0	18
8	Famalicao	10	5	1	4	+2	16
9	Vizela	10	4	2	4	+5	14
10	Casa Pia	10	4	2	4	+0	14
11	Portimonense	10	4	2	4	-1	14
12	Rio Ave	9	4	1	4	+1	13
13	Gil Vicente	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Chaves	9	2	5	2	+0	11
15	Estoril	9	3	2	4	-4	11
16	Santa Clara	10	2	4	4	-6	10
17	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	11	1	2	8	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	8	1	1	+15	25
2	Sp Braga	10	8	0	2	+11	24
3	Porto	10	6	3	1	+9	21
4	Casa Pia	9	5	1	3	-2	16
5	Chaves	11	4	3	4	-5	15
6	Sp Lisbon	10	4	2	4	-1	14
7	Estoril	10	3	2	5	-2	11
8	Vizela	10	3	2	5	-3	11
9	Arouca	9	2	5	2	-6	11
10	Gil Vicente	10	3	1	6	-5	10
11	Guimaraes	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Portimonense	10	3	0	7	-9	9
13	Rio Ave	10	1	5	4	-7	8
14	Boavista	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Santa Clara	10	1	2	7	-6	5
16	Famalicao	10	1	2	7	-12	5
17	Maritimo	10	1	2	7	-19	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	9	1	1	7	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.