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Coppa Italia

Referee: D Chiffi

Inter

U S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Atalanta

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

5,3

Scored

1,3

3,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,0

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

7,0

Scored

2,0

5,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 16. · Atalanta 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Cremonese	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Bari	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Spezia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Parma	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Modena	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Monza	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Bari	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Bari	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Parma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Monza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Modena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.