← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: D Orsato
Chelsea
T U T T T
0–2
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Chelsea Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
56%
78%
Points per game
1,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,1
3,4
Scored
1,3
2,6
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,90 xG 1,79
54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Apr -23 Real Madrid – Chelsea 2–0

Match report

Chelsea Real Madrid
22′
🟨 Éder Militão
Marc Cucurella 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Rüdiger
↦ D. Alaba
Reece James 🟨
50′
58′
⚽ Rodrygo 0–1
Vinícius Júnior
João Félix 🔁
↦ C. Gallagher
67′
R. Sterling 🔁
↦ E. Fernández
67′
M. Mudryk 🔁
↦ Marc Cucurella
68′
71′
🔁 A. Tchouaméni
↦ K. Benzema
76′
🔁 Dani Ceballos
↦ T. Kroos
M. Mount 🔁
↦ K. Havertz
77′
80′
⚽ Rodrygo 0–2
F. Valverde
81′
🔁 Marco Asensio
↦ Rodrygo
81′
🔁 Nacho
↦ Dani Carvajal
Mykhaylo Mudryk 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
1 Kepa G
14 T. Chalobah D
6 Thiago Silva D
33 W. Fofana D
24 R. James M
5 E. Fernández M
8 M. Kovačić M
32 Marc Cucurella M
7 N. Kanté F
23 C. Gallagher F
29 K. Havertz F
Bench (12)
11 João Félix
17 R. Sterling
15 M. Mudryk
19 M. Mount
12 R. Loftus-Cheek
20 D. Zakaria
28 César Azpilicueta
22 H. Ziyech
30 C. Chukwuemeka
10 C. Pulišić
16 É. Mendy
67 L. Hall

Coach: F. Lampard

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
2 Dani Carvajal D
3 Éder Militão D
4 D. Alaba D
12 E. Camavinga D
15 F. Valverde M
8 T. Kroos M
10 L. Modrić M
21 Rodrygo F
9 K. Benzema F
20 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (12)
22 A. Rüdiger
18 A. Tchouaméni
19 Dani Ceballos
11 Marco Asensio
6 Nacho
5 Vallejo
7 E. Hazard
16 Odriozola
17 Lucas Vázquez
13 A. Lunin
26 Luis López
24 M. Díaz

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.