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Süper Lig

Referee: A Şansalan

Karagumruk

U U S T S

4–2

Full-time

Ümraniyespor

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Ümraniyespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Süper Lig · 27/28 matches

Win Ø 27%

33%

21%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

74%

64%

Both score Ø 71%

74%

68%

Average goals

3,9

3,1

Scored

2,1

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 9. · Ümraniyespor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	27	21	3	3	+41	66
2	Fenerbahce	27	19	3	5	+35	60
3	Besiktas	28	16	8	4	+24	56
4	Ad. Demirspor	28	14	9	5	+26	51
5	Buyuksehyr	27	13	6	8	+8	45
6	Trabzonspor	28	13	6	9	+7	45
7	Kayserispor	28	14	2	12	+0	44
8	Konyaspor	28	9	12	7	+5	39
9	Karagumruk	27	9	10	8	+7	37
10	Antalyaspor	27	9	5	13	-6	32
11	Alanyaspor	28	8	8	12	-10	32
12	Kasimpasa	28	9	5	14	-13	32
13	Sivasspor	28	8	7	13	-5	31
14	Ankaragücü	27	8	4	15	-11	28
15	Giresunspor	27	6	9	12	-20	27
16	İstanbulspor	27	8	3	16	-22	27
17	Ümraniyespor	28	6	8	14	-9	26
18	Gaziantep	29	6	7	16	-20	25
19	Hatayspor	27	6	5	16	-37	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	12	1	1	+20	37
2	Ad. Demirspor	14	10	4	0	+27	34
3	Besiktas	14	10	3	1	+18	33
4	Fenerbahce	14	10	1	3	+19	31
5	Trabzonspor	15	9	4	2	+16	31
6	Buyuksehyr	13	9	1	3	+7	28
7	Alanyaspor	14	7	4	3	+9	25
8	Kayserispor	14	8	1	5	+8	25
9	Antalyaspor	14	7	2	5	+5	23
10	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-1	21
11	Konyaspor	14	4	6	4	+0	18
12	Karagumruk	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Ankaragücü	13	5	2	6	-2	17
14	Hatayspor	13	4	4	5	-10	16
15	Sivasspor	13	3	6	4	+1	15
16	Giresunspor	13	4	3	6	-5	15
17	İstanbulspor	13	4	2	7	-8	14
18	Ümraniyespor	15	3	4	8	-3	13
19	Gaziantep	14	3	4	7	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	9	2	2	+21	29
2	Fenerbahce	13	9	2	2	+16	29
3	Besiktas	14	6	5	3	+6	23
4	Konyaspor	14	5	6	3	+5	21
5	Karagumruk	14	5	5	4	+3	20
6	Kayserispor	14	6	1	7	-8	19
7	Buyuksehyr	14	4	5	5	+1	17
8	Ad. Demirspor	14	4	5	5	-1	17
9	Sivasspor	15	5	1	9	-6	16
10	Trabzonspor	13	4	2	7	-9	14
11	Ümraniyespor	13	3	4	6	-6	13
12	İstanbulspor	14	4	1	9	-14	13
13	Gaziantep	15	3	3	9	-12	12
14	Giresunspor	14	2	6	6	-15	12
15	Ankaragücü	14	3	2	9	-9	11
16	Kasimpasa	13	3	2	8	-12	11
17	Antalyaspor	13	2	3	8	-11	9
18	Alanyaspor	14	1	4	9	-19	7
19	Hatayspor	14	2	1	11	-27	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.