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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Galatasaray
S U S S S
2–1
Full-time
Molde
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 10
1 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -23 Molde – Galatasaray 2–3

Match report

Galatasaray Molde
5′
🟨 Martin Ellingsen
1–0 M. Icardi
7′
21′
🔁 E. Hestad
↦ M. Kaasa
22′
🔁 M. Løvik
↦ E. Knudtzon
Half-time 1–0
Abdülkerim Bardakcı 🟨
50′
66′
E. Hestad 1–1
E. Breivik
K. Ayhan 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
72′
B. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
72′
Barış Alper Yılmaz 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 K. Eriksen
↦ E. Breivik
76′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ M. Eikrem
C. Bakambu 🔁
↦ Tetê
80′
82′
ℹ️ Veton Berisha
VAR: Goal cancelled
85′
🟨 Sivert Mannsverk
85′
🔁 M. Grødem
↦ M. Løvik
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
90′
2–1 Angeliño
93′
96′
🟨 Veton Berisha
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
3 Angeliño D
8 K. Demirbay M
34 L. Torreira M
20 Tetê M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
23 K. Ayhan
53 B. Yılmaz
94 C. Bakambu
22 B. Kutlu
40 E. Bayram
19 G. Güvenç
27 Sérgio Oliveira
88 K. Karataş
21 H. Dervişoğlu
63 B. Aksaka
2 L. Dubois
58 A. Bülbül

Coach: O. Buruk

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
19 E. Haugan D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
6 M. Ellingsen D
14 E. Knudtzon M
15 M. Kaasa M
8 S. Mannsverk M
16 E. Breivik M
28 K. Haugen M
7 M. Eikrem F
11 O. Brynhildsen F
Bench (12)
5 E. Hestad
31 M. Løvik
20 K. Eriksen
9 V. Berisha
22 M. Grødem
12 O. Petersen
25 A. Hagelskjær
33 N. Ødegård
4 B. Hansen
34 P. Lervik
32 H. Ibrahim
10 E. Kitolano

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.