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League Cup
Referee: B Speedie
Wrexham
S S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Bradford
S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wrexham Bradford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 71%
67%
75%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wrexham 47. · Bradford 44.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Swansea 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Newport County 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Gillingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Mansfield Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Port Vale 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Doncaster 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Exeter City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 AFC Wimbledon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Harrogate Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Colchester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Sutton Utd 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Cambridge United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Crewe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Peterborough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Swindon Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Bradford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Walsall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Barrow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Forest Green 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Notts County 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wrexham Bradford
3′
T. Smith 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 B. Pointon
↦ A. Pattison
49′
🟨 Alexander Pattison
E. O'Connell 🔁
↦ A. Hayden
61′
J. McClean 🔁
↦ J. Mendy
61′
E. Lee 🔁
↦ A. Cannon
61′
James McClean 🟨
67′
O. Palmer 🔁
↦ J. Bickerstaff
70′
1–1 W. Boyle
L. Young
72′
73′
🔁 M. Derbyshire
↦ T. Smith
73′
🔁 D. Oyegoke
↦ E. Osadebe
83′
🔁 A. Wilson
↦ J. Walker
B. Waters 🔁
↦ S. Dalby
87′
92′
🟨 Matthew Platt
121′
M. Derbyshire 1–2
L. Young
penalty missed
122′
123′
R. Smallwood 1–3
2–3 E. Lee
124′
125′
A. Wilson 2–4
126′
B. Halliday 2–5
3–5 O. Palmer
127′
4–5 J. McClean
128′
129′
D. Oyegoke
penalty missed
J. Jones
penalty missed
130′
Full-time 4–5

Line-ups

Wrexham

5-3-2
21 M. Howard G
29 R. Barnett D
5 A. Hayden D
4 B. Tozer D
25 W. Boyle D
19 J. Mendy D
20 A. Cannon M
8 L. Young M
30 J. Jones M
18 S. Dalby F
27 J. Bickerstaff F
Bench (9)
15 E. O'Connell
23 J. McClean
38 E. Lee
9 O. Palmer
16 B. Waters
22 T. O'Connor
31 L. McNicholas
14 A. Forde
11 L. McAlinden

Coach: P. Parkinson

Bradford

3-4-1-2
1 H. Lewis G
5 M. Platt D
15 S. Stubbs D
18 C. Kelly D
2 B. Halliday M
6 R. Smallwood M
8 E. Osadebe M
3 L. Ridehalgh M
10 A. Pattison F
14 T. Smith F
7 J. Walker F
Bench (9)
23 B. Pointon
27 M. Derbyshire
22 D. Oyegoke
33 A. Wilson
24 D. Youmbi
21 O. Odusina
17 L. Hendrie
13 C. Doyle
32 L. Richards

Coach: M. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Speedie · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.