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Serie B
Referee: G Collu
Ascoli
U T T T T
3–0
Full-time
FeralpiSalo
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli FeralpiSalo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 18. · FeralpiSalo 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Venezia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Cosenza 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Sudtirol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Catanzaro 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Bari 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Pisa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Modena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Sampdoria 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Palermo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Reggiana 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Cremonese 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Como 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Ternana 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 FeralpiSalo 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Ascoli 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli FeralpiSalo
28′
🟨 Davide Balestrero
1–0 Pedro Mendes
G. Manzari
29′
2–0 Pablo Rodríguez
S. Giovane
31′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. La Mantia
↦ D. Hergheligiu
46′
🔁 L. Fiordilino
↦ F. Carraro
51′
🟨 Luca Ceppitelli
F. Caligara 🔁
↦ C. Adjapong
51′
59′
🔁 M. Sau
↦ K. Butić
65′
🟨 Alessandro Pilati
V. Millico 🔁
↦ G. Manzari
71′
74′
🔁 M. Compagnon
↦ D. Di Molfetta
3–0 Pedro Mendes
77′
83′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ M. Felici
S. D'Uffizi 🔁
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
85′
L. Cosimi 🔁
↦ M. Falzerano
86′
E. Kraja 🔁
↦ P. Masini
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ascoli

4-3-2-1
2 E. Viviano G
17 C. Adjapong D
33 Eric Botteghin D
55 G. Bellusci D
8 S. Giovane D
73 P. Masini M
5 E. Gnahoré M
23 M. Falzerano M
28 G. Manzari M
99 Pablo Rodríguez M
90 Pedro Mendes F
Bench (10)
10 F. Caligara
7 V. Millico
15 S. D'Uffizi
21 L. Cosimi
6 E. Kraja
1 D. Barosi
12 L. Bolletta
77 M. Büchel
3 K. Haveri
98 F. Cozzoli

Coach: W. Viali

FeralpiSalo

4-3-3
1 S. Pizzignacco G
2 G. Ferrarini D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
19 A. Pilati D
3 M. Tonetto D
27 D. Hergheligiu M
21 F. Carraro M
8 D. Balestrero M
97 M. Felici F
9 K. Butić F
10 D. Di Molfetta F
Bench (12)
91 A. La Mantia
16 L. Fiordilino
25 M. Sau
14 M. Compagnon
70 V. Parigini
66 F. Bergonzi
77 B. Gjyla
61 G. Volpe
6 L. Bacchetti
34 S. Minelli
4 M. Musatti
87 B. Martella

Coach: S. Vecchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,40
B
4,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.