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Champions League
Referee: H Meler
Lazio
S T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Celtic
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,30 xG 0,35
46% Possession 54%
22 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -23 Celtic – Lazio 1–2

Match report

Lazio Celtic
27′
🟨 Greg Taylor
35′
🟨 Alistair Johnston
Half-time 0–0
Nicolò Rovella 🟨
50′
C. Immobile 🔁
↦ V. Castellanos
61′
Pedro 🔁
↦ Felipe Anderson
61′
61′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ J. Forrest
69′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ Paulo Bernardo
71′
🟨 Matt O'Riley
78′
🟨 Yang Hyun-Jun
D. Cataldi 🔁
↦ N. Rovella
79′
1–0 C. Immobile ⚽
82′
D. Kamada 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
84′
2–0 C. Immobile ⚽
G. Isaksen
85′
86′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
Pedro 🟨
89′
Patric 🟨
93′
95′
ℹ️ Hyun-gyu Oh
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
4 Patric D
34 Mario Gila D
77 A. Marušić D
8 M. Guendouzi M
65 N. Rovella M
10 Luis Alberto M
18 G. Isaksen F
19 V. Castellanos F
7 Felipe Anderson F
Bench (9)
17 C. Immobile
9 Pedro
32 D. Cataldi
6 D. Kamada
3 L. Pellegrini
23 E. Hysaj
33 L. Sepe
60 F. Ruggeri
53 F. Magro

Coach: M. Sarri

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun F
8 K. Furuhashi F
49 J. Forrest F
Bench (11)
90 M. Johnston
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
14 D. Turnbull
43 J. Morrison
56 A. Ralston
15 O. Holm
29 S. Bain
4 G. Lagerbielke
57 S. Welsh
68 M. Frame
6 N. Phillips

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.