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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Paris SG
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Newcastle
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4,54 xG 1,29
72% Possession 28%
31 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 7
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -23 Newcastle – Paris SG 4–1

Match report

Paris SG Newcastle
22′
🟨 Joelinton
24′
⚽ A. Isak 0–1
Manuel Ugarte 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
Kang-in Lee 🟨
54′
Ousmane Dembélé 🟨
58′
Milan Škriniar 🟨
60′
Vitinha 🔁
↦ M. Ugarte
62′
B. Barcola 🔁
↦ R. Kolo Muani
62′
Gianluigi Donnarumma 🟨
72′
Marco Asensio 🔁
↦ Lee Kang-In
82′
83′
🟨 Miguel Almirón
Gonçalo Ramos 🔁
↦ Danilo Pereira
85′
92′
🟨 Nick Pope
Gonçalo Ramos 🟨
95′
Ousmane Dembélé ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
96′
1–1 K. Mbappé ⚽
98′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
99 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
37 M. Škriniar D
15 Danilo Pereira D
21 L. Hernández D
8 Fabián Ruiz M
4 M. Ugarte M
19 Lee Kang-In M
10 O. Dembélé F
23 R. Kolo Muani F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (8)
17 Vitinha
29 B. Barcola
11 Marco Asensio
9 Gonçalo Ramos
26 N. Mukiele
80 Arnau Tenas
28 Carlos Soler
30 A. Letellier

Coach: Luis Enrique

Newcastle

4-3-3
22 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
6 J. Lascelles D
5 F. Schär D
21 T. Livramento D
67 L. Miley M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
7 Joelinton M
24 M. Almirón F
14 A. Isak F
10 A. Gordon F
Bench (7)
1 M. Dúbravka
18 L. Karius
20 L. Hall
63 B. Parkinson
55 M. Ndiweni
58 J. Huntley
3 P. Dummett

Coach: E. Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.