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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Napoli
T S T T T
2–0
Full-time
Sp Braga
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/9 matches
Win Ø 48%
40%
56%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
60%
78%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,44 xG 0,98
49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Sep -23 Sp Braga – Napoli 1–2

Match report

Napoli Sp Braga
0–1 S. Saatçı ⚽
own goal
9′
19′
🟨 Simon Banza
1–1 V. Osimhen ⚽
Natan
33′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Abel Ruiz
↦ Pizzi
E. Elmas 🔁
↦ M. Politano
60′
J. Cajuste 🔁
↦ P. Zieliński
61′
68′
🔁 Al Musrati
↦ R. Zalazar
G. Gaetano 🔁
↦ S. Lobotka
69′
G. Raspadori 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
69′
L. Østigård 🔁
↦ Juan Jesus
73′
81′
🔁 André Horta
↦ João Moutinho
81′
🔁 J. Mendes
↦ Víctor Gómez
83′
🟨 Josafat Mendes
88′
🔁 Rony Lopes
↦ Ricardo Horta
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
5 Juan Jesus D
3 Natan D
99 F. Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
20 P. Zieliński M
21 M. Politano F
9 V. Osimhen F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (11)
7 E. Elmas
24 J. Cajuste
70 G. Gaetano
81 G. Raspadori
55 L. Østigård
18 G. Simeone
29 J. Lindstrøm
95 P. Gollini
23 A. Zerbin
59 A. Zanoli
14 N. Contini-Baranovskyi

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
6 José Fonte D
5 S. Saatçı D
26 C. Borja D
28 João Moutinho M
16 R. Zalazar M
21 Ricardo Horta M
22 Pizzi M
7 Bruma M
23 S. Banza F
Bench (12)
9 Abel Ruiz
8 Al Musrati
10 André Horta
17 J. Mendes
20 Rony Lopes
19 Adrián Marín
88 Castro
12 Tiago Sá
15 Paulo Oliveira
11 Roger Fernandes
91 L. Horníček
18 Vitor Carvalho

Coach: Artur Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.