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Champions League
Referee: T Stieler
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Arsenal
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,5
2,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 68%
56%
80%
Points per game
2,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
78%
80%
Both score Ø 59%
78%
40%
Average goals
3,9
3,6
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,55 xG 0,97
42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Sep -23 Arsenal – PSV Eindhoven 4–0 27. Oct -22 PSV Eindhoven – Arsenal 2–0 20. Oct -22 Arsenal – PSV Eindhoven 1–0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Arsenal
42′
⚽ E. Nketiah 0–1
R. Nelson
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Y. Vertessen ⚽
R. Pepi
50′
62′
🔁 M. Ødegaard
↦ Mohamed Elneny
62′
🔁 B. White
↦ W. Saliba
62′
🔁 D. Rice
↦ Cédric Soares
I. Babadi 🔁
↦ J. Bakayoko
74′
S. Dest 🔁
↦ I. Saibari
74′
G. Til 🔁
↦ M. Tillman
82′
89′
🔁 Gabriel Jesus
↦ R. Nelson
89′
🔁 E. Smith Rowe
↦ K. Havertz
F. Oppegård 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
4 A. Obispo D
17 Mauro Júnior D
10 M. Tillman M
30 P. van Aanholt M
34 I. Saibari M
11 J. Bakayoko F
14 R. Pepi F
32 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (9)
26 I. Babadi
8 S. Dest
20 G. Til
35 F. Oppegård
9 L. de Jong
16 J. Drommel
18 O. Boscagli
2 S. Sambo
24 B. Waterman

Coach: P. Bosz

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 A. Ramsdale G
17 Cédric Soares D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
15 J. Kiwior D
25 Mohamed Elneny M
20 Jorginho M
29 K. Havertz M
24 R. Nelson F
14 E. Nketiah F
19 L. Trossard F
Bench (12)
8 M. Ødegaard
4 B. White
41 D. Rice
9 Gabriel Jesus
10 E. Smith Rowe
63 E. Nwaneri
7 B. Saka
35 O. Zinchenko
31 K. Hein
76 R. Walters
22 David Raya
72 L. Sousa

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.