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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Paris SG
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Girona
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
3,3
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,05 xG 0,25
64% Possession 36%
26 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 1
12 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Paris SG Girona
Marquinhos 🟨
17′
20′
🟨 Ladislav Krejčí
R. Kolo Muani 🔁
↦ Marco Asensio
39′
43′
🟨 Oriol Romeu
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 Portu
↦ C. Stuani
58′
🔁 A. Danjuma
↦ D. van de Beek
João Neves 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
63′
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ Vitinha
63′
D. Doué 🔁
↦ B. Barcola
63′
66′
🔁 Y. Asprilla
↦ Bryan Gil
66′
🔁 J. Solís
↦ Iván Martín
74′
🟨 Paulo Gazzaniga
88′
🔁 Alejandro Francés
↦ V. Tsyhankov
0–1 P. Gazzaniga ⚽
own goal
90′
Beraldo 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
10 O. Dembélé F
11 Marco Asensio F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (10)
23 R. Kolo Muani
87 João Neves
19 Lee Kang-In
14 D. Doué
35 Beraldo
70 Louis Mouquet
42 Y. Zague
80 Arnau Tenas
37 M. Škriniar
24 S. Mayulu

Coach: Luis Enrique

Girona

4-2-3-1
13 P. Gazzaniga G
4 Arnau Martínez D
5 David López D
18 L. Krejčí D
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D
23 Iván Martín M
14 Oriol Romeu M
8 V. Tsyhankov M
6 D. van de Beek M
20 Bryan Gil M
7 C. Stuani F
Bench (10)
24 Portu
11 A. Danjuma
10 Y. Asprilla
22 J. Solís
16 Alejandro Francés
9 Abel Ruiz
15 Juanpe
19 B. Miovski
17 D. Blind
25 Pau López

Coach: Míchel Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.