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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Le Havre
T U S T T
1–4
Full-time
Paris SG
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,21 xG 2,87
24% Possession 76%
5 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Apr -24 Paris SG – Le Havre 3–3 3. Dec -23 Le Havre – Paris SG 0–2

Match report

Le Havre Paris SG
3′
⚽ Lee Kang-In 0–1
Gonçalo Ramos
Étienne Youte Kinkoue 🟨
15′
20′
🔁 R. Kolo Muani
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 João Neves
↦ I. Mbaye
Antoine Joujou 🟨
48′
1–1 G. Lloris ⚽
C. Opéri
48′
Josué Casimir ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
54′
71′
🔁 B. Barcola
↦ Marco Asensio
71′
🔁 O. Dembélé
↦ Lee Kang-In
71′
🔁 Marquinhos
↦ Y. Zague
S. Grandsir 🔁
↦ R. Ndiaye
75′
S. Ngoura 🔁
↦ A. Joujou
76′
84′
⚽ O. Dembélé 1–2
João Neves
86′
⚽ B. Barcola 1–3
João Neves
K. Diawara 🔁
↦ Y. Kechta
87′
Gautier Lloris 🟨
88′
90′
⚽ R. Kolo Muani 1–4
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
7 L. Nego D
6 É. Youté D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
14 D. Kuzyaev M
94 A. Touré M
19 R. Ndiaye M
8 Y. Kechta F
23 J. Casimir F
21 A. Joujou F
Bench (9)
29 S. Grandsir
77 S. Ngoura
15 K. Diawara
1 M. Gorgelin
44 I. Bouneb
12 M. Bodmer
18 Y. Zouaoui
22 Y. Salmier
78 D. Mosengo

Coach: D. Digard

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
35 Beraldo D
51 W. Pacho D
42 Y. Zague D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
11 Marco Asensio M
19 Lee Kang-In F
9 Gonçalo Ramos F
49 I. Mbaye F
Bench (9)
23 R. Kolo Muani
87 João Neves
29 B. Barcola
10 O. Dembélé
5 Marquinhos
24 S. Mayulu
39 M. Safonov
28 Carlos Soler
37 M. Škriniar

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,41
🔒
U
4,86
🔒
B ✓
1,42
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
U2,5
2,33
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.