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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Sevilla

T T U T U

0–2

Full-time

Girona

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

0,7

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,97 xG 1,94

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

4 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 18. · Girona 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+10	+7.4	12
2	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	+4.2	8
3	Villarreal	4	2	2	0	+2	+0.1	8
4	Alaves	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.3	7
5	Osasuna	4	2	1	1	-2	-2.3	7
6	Celta	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.5	6
7	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+3	+3.5	5
8	Leganes	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.6	5
9	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.3	5
10	Girona	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.9	4
11	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.6	4
12	Ath Bilbao	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.5	4
13	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
14	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-9	-4.2	4
15	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.1	3
16	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
17	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.1	2
18	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.5	2
19	Las Palmas	4	0	2	2	-3	-4.7	2
20	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.0	7
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.2	6
3	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
5	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
6	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
7	Valladolid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
8	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
9	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.2	3
10	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
11	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
12	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.1	3
13	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.6	2
14	Mallorca	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
15	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
16	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
17	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
18	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
19	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
20	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.2	6
2	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.5	4
4	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
5	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
6	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
7	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
8	Real Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
9	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
10	Leganes	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
11	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
12	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
14	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.3	1
15	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
17	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
18	Las Palmas	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.0	0
19	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.2	0
20	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-10	-5.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.