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Champions League
Referee: S Schärer
RB Leipzig
U S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Liverpool
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,77 xG 2,31
43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

RB Leipzig Liverpool
Castello Lukeba 🟨
8′
12′
🟨 Alexis Mac Allister
Lutsharel Geertruida 🟨
23′
27′
⚽ D. Núñez 0–1
Mohamed Salah
Half-time 0–1
63′
🔁 L. Díaz
↦ Mohamed Salah
E. Bitshiabu 🔁
↦ L. Geertruida
74′
C. Baumgartner 🔁
↦ B. Šeško
74′
K. Kampl 🔁
↦ A. Vermeeren
74′
74′
🔁 C. Jones
↦ D. Núñez
75′
🔁 A. Robertson
↦ K. Tsimikas
75′
🔁 J. Gomez
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
Y. Poulsen 🔁
↦ X. Simons
78′
E. Elmas 🔁
↦ A. Haidara
86′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
3 L. Geertruida D
4 W. Orbán D
23 C. Lukeba D
39 B. Henrichs D
7 A. Nusa M
18 A. Vermeeren M
8 A. Haidara M
10 X. Simons M
30 B. Šeško F
11 L. Openda F
Bench (8)
5 E. Bitshiabu
14 C. Baumgartner
44 K. Kampl
9 Y. Poulsen
6 E. Elmas
26 M. Vandevoordt
47 V. Gebel
19 André Silva

Coach: M. Rose

Liverpool

4-3-3
62 C. Kelleher G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
21 K. Tsimikas D
8 D. Szoboszlai M
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
11 Mohamed Salah F
9 D. Núñez F
18 C. Gakpo F
Bench (10)
7 L. Díaz
17 C. Jones
26 A. Robertson
2 J. Gomez
3 W. Endō
80 T. Morton
95 H. Davies
56 V. Jaroš
98 T. Nyoni
78 J. Quansah

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.