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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Barcelona
S T S S S
4–1
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,5
4,8
Scored
3,5
3,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
6,0
Scored
3,0
4,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,23 xG 1,04
40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -22 Barcelona – Bayern Munich 0–3 13. Sep -22 Bayern Munich – Barcelona 2–0

Match report

Barcelona Bayern Munich
1–0 Raphinha ⚽
Fermín López
1′
11′
ℹ️ Harry Kane
VAR: Goal cancelled
18′
⚽ H. Kane 1–1
S. Gnabry
27′
🟨 Joshua Kimmich
2–1 R. Lewandowski ⚽
Fermín López
36′
3–1 Raphinha ⚽
Marc Casadó
45′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 Raphinha ⚽
Lamine Yamal
56′
60′
🔁 J. Musiala
↦ T. Müller
60′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ S. Gnabry
60′
🔁 L. Sané
↦ M. Olise
60′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ João Palhinha
F. de Jong 🔁
↦ Fermín López
61′
Dani Olmo 🔁
↦ Raphinha
76′
Pau Víctor 🔁
↦ R. Lewandowski
85′
Gavi 🔁
↦ Pedri
85′
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ Lamine Yamal
85′
85′
🔁 K. Laimer
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
90′
🟨 Leon Goretzka
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 Iñaki Peña G
23 J. Koundé D
2 Pau Cubarsí D
5 Iñigo Martínez D
3 Alejandro Balde D
17 Marc Casadó M
8 Pedri M
19 Lamine Yamal M
16 Fermín López M
11 Raphinha M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (11)
21 F. de Jong
20 Dani Olmo
18 Pau Víctor
6 Gavi
10 Ansu Fati
36 Sergi Domínguez
25 W. Szczęsny
32 Héctor Fort
31 D. Kochen
14 Pablo Torre
35 Gerard Martín

Coach: H. Flick

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
22 Raphaël Guerreiro D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
16 João Palhinha M
6 J. Kimmich M
17 M. Olise M
25 T. Müller M
7 S. Gnabry M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (11)
42 J. Musiala
11 K. Coman
10 L. Sané
8 L. Goretzka
27 K. Laimer
15 E. Dier
18 D. Peretz
49 A. Aznou
26 S. Ulreich
39 M. Tel
20 A. Ibrahimović

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.