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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Salzburg
U S T T S
0–2
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
2,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,17 xG 1,71
49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Oct -22 Dinamo Zagreb – Salzburg 1–1 5. Oct -22 Salzburg – Dinamo Zagreb 1–0

Match report

Salzburg Dinamo Zagreb
Mads Bidstrup 🟨
18′
Amar Dedić 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–1
49′
⚽ S. Kulenović 0–1
S. Ristovski
Stefan Bajčetić 🔁
↦ M. Diambou
58′
N. Capaldo 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
58′
D. Nene 🔁
↦ A. Daghim
58′
59′
🔁 M. Rog
↦ A. Ademi
Alexander Schlager 🟥
66′
J. Blaswich 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
66′
Kamil Piątkowski 🟨
73′
77′
🔁 R. Pierre-Gabriel
↦ T. Ogiwara
78′
🔁 B. Petković
↦ S. Kulenović
D. Guindo 🔁
↦ A. Terzić
82′
84′
⚽ B. Petković 0–2
S. Ristovski
88′
🔁 L. Stojković
↦ P. Sučić
88′
🔁 L. Kačavenda
↦ M. Baturina
90′
🟨 Marko Rog
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-3
24 A. Schlager G
70 A. Dedić D
91 K. Piątkowski D
6 S. Baidoo D
3 A. Terzić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
15 M. Diambou M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
28 A. Daghim F
19 K. Konaté F
30 O. Gloukh F
Bench (12)
8 Stefan Bajčetić
7 N. Capaldo
45 D. Nene
1 J. Blaswich
29 D. Guindo
25 O. Lukić
10 B. Clark
39 L. Morgalla
27 L. Gourna-Douath
36 J. Mellberg
4 H. Blank
5 B. Okoh

Coach: P. Lijnders

Dinamo Zagreb

3-5-1-1
33 I. Nevistić G
28 K. Théophile-Catherine D
6 M. Bernauer D
4 Raúl Torrente D
22 S. Ristovski M
25 P. Sučić M
5 A. Ademi M
27 J. Mišić M
3 T. Ogiwara M
10 M. Baturina F
17 S. Kulenović F
Bench (12)
30 M. Rog
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel
9 B. Petković
7 L. Stojković
8 L. Kačavenda
20 M. Pjaca
1 D. Zagorac
77 D. Špikić
11 A. Hoxha
19 J. Córdoba
21 N. Mbuku
13 S. Mmaee

Coach: N. Bjelica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.