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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Liverpool
S S U S S
4–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,79 xG 0,80
47% Possession 53%
22 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Liverpool Leverkusen
26′
🟨 Aleix García
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Lukáš Hrádecký
1–0 L. Díaz ⚽
C. Jones
61′
2–0 C. Gakpo ⚽
Mohamed Salah
63′
Cody Gakpo ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
65′
D. Szoboszlai 🔁
↦ C. Jones
73′
73′
🔁 J. Hofmann
↦ E. Palacios
73′
🔁 R. Andrich
↦ Aleix García
D. Núñez 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
80′
A. Robertson 🔁
↦ K. Tsimikas
80′
C. Bradley 🔁
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
81′
81′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ V. Boniface
81′
🔁 N. Tella
↦ Álex Grimaldo
3–0 L. Díaz ⚽
Mohamed Salah
83′
J. Quansah 🔁
↦ I. Konaté
88′
4–0 L. Díaz ⚽
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
62 C. Kelleher G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
21 K. Tsimikas D
17 C. Jones M
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
11 Mohamed Salah F
7 L. Díaz F
18 C. Gakpo F
Bench (10)
8 D. Szoboszlai
9 D. Núñez
26 A. Robertson
84 C. Bradley
78 J. Quansah
95 H. Davies
80 T. Morton
2 J. Gomez
56 V. Jaroš
3 W. Endō

Coach: A. Slot

Leverkusen

3-5-2
1 L. Hrádecký G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
34 G. Xhaka M
24 Aleix García M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
10 F. Wirtz F
22 V. Boniface F
Bench (8)
7 J. Hofmann
8 R. Andrich
14 P. Schick
19 N. Tella
40 F. Onyeka
17 M. Kovář
13 Arthur
36 N. Lomb

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.