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Copa del Rey
Referee: Francisco Hernández
0–5
Full-time
Osasuna
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chiclana Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Betis 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Estepona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
53 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Real Ávila 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
63 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
64 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
65 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
102 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
104 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
108 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
109 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chiclana Osasuna
Juanito 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
50′
Raúl García 0–1
Iker Benito
54′
Iker Benito 0–2
Popi 🔁
↦ Mawi
58′
Cristian Pecci 🔁
↦ Juan Argudo
59′
59′
🔁 Kike Barja
↦ Iker Benito
Alberto Ramos 🔁
↦ Josemi Caballero
68′
70′
🔁 Juan Cruz
↦ Pablo Ibáñez
70′
🔁 Javi Martínez
↦ Abel Bretones
71′
José Arnáiz 0–3
Nacho Vidal
Adrián Pascual 🔁
↦ Dani Guerrero
75′
Rafa Natera 🔁
↦ Sergio Alba
75′
77′
Moi Gómez 0–4
Javi Martínez
80′
🔁 Asier Osambela
↦ Iker Muñoz
80′
Raúl García 0–5
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Chiclana

25 Kike Reguero
3 Antonio Benítez
20 Samuel Fernández
5 Jaime León
4 David Montero
8 Josemi Caballero
6 Juan Argudo
10 Agustín Butrón
11 Mawi
9 Dani Guerrero
7 Sergio Alba
Bench (11)
23 Popi
15 Cristian Pecci
14 Alberto Ramos
17 Adrián Pascual
22 Rafa Natera
24 Alex Montesinos
2 Raúl Sánchez
21 Diego Manzorro
18 Jesús Flores
1 Fran Morales
29 Álvaro

Coach: Alfonso Cortijo

Osasuna

13 Aitor Fernández
4 Unai García
2 Nacho Vidal
5 Jorge Herrando
16 Moi Gómez
23 Abel Bretones
8 Pablo Ibáñez
18 Iker Muñoz
20 José Arnáiz
9 Raúl García
27 Iker Benito
Bench (11)
11 Kike Barja
3 Juan Cruz
21 Javi Martínez
29 Asier Osambela
15 Rubén Peña
19 Bryan Zaragoza
17 A. Budimir
1 Sergio Herrera
30 Diego Espejo
22 E. Boyomo
7 Moncayola

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Francisco Hernández · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.