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Champions League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Inter
S S S U S
1–0
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
1,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,37 xG 0,15
50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Inter RB Leipzig
Benjamin Pavard 🟨
11′
0–1 C. Lukeba
own goal
27′
Alessandro Bastoni 🟨
33′
34′
🟨 Christoph Baumgartner
Y. Bisseck 🔁
↦ B. Pavard
44′
Half-time 0–1
61′
🔁 A. Ouédraogo
↦ C. Baumgartner
61′
🔁 B. Šeško
↦ André Silva
61′
🔁 N. Seiwald
↦ A. Haidara
Carlos Augusto 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
65′
M. Thuram 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
65′
70′
🔁 A. Vermeeren
↦ A. Ouédraogo
M. Arnautović 🔁
↦ L. Martínez
76′
H. Mkhitaryan 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
76′
85′
🟨 Castello Lukeba
85′
🔁 V. Gebel
↦ L. Geertruida
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Inter

3-1-4-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
7 P. Zieliński M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 L. Martínez F
99 M. Taremi F
Bench (11)
31 Y. Bisseck
30 Carlos Augusto
9 M. Thuram
8 M. Arnautović
22 H. Mkhitaryan
17 T. Buchanan
21 K. Asllani
50 M. Aidoo
12 R. Di Gennaro
13 Josep Martínez
36 M. Darmian

Coach: S. Inzaghi

RB Leipzig

4-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
3 L. Geertruida D
4 W. Orbán D
23 C. Lukeba D
39 B. Henrichs D
14 C. Baumgartner M
8 A. Haidara M
44 K. Kampl M
7 A. Nusa M
19 André Silva F
11 L. Openda F
Bench (6)
20 A. Ouédraogo
30 B. Šeško
13 N. Seiwald
18 A. Vermeeren
47 V. Gebel
26 M. Vandevoordt

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.