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Champions League
Referee: I Kovács
Bayern Munich
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Paris SG
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,8
2,2
Conceded
0,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,0
Scored
2,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,41 xG 0,77
57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Mar -23 Bayern Munich – Paris SG 2–0 14. Feb -23 Paris SG – Bayern Munich 0–1

Match report

Bayern Munich Paris SG
-5′
🟨 Fabián Ruiz
37′
🟨 Ousmane Dembélé
1–0 Kim Min-Jae ⚽
38′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 Ousmane Dembélé
56′
🟥 Ousmane Dembélé
57′
🟨 Achraf Hakimi
65′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ W. Zaïre-Emery
Kingsley Coman 🟨
67′
71′
🟨 Nuno Mendes
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ K. Coman
72′
M. Olise 🔁
↦ L. Sané
72′
72′
🔁 Gonçalo Ramos
↦ B. Barcola
Michael Olise 🟨
76′
T. Müller 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
77′
83′
🔁 Marco Asensio
↦ Fabián Ruiz
Serge Gnabry 🟨
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
8 L. Goretzka M
10 L. Sané M
42 J. Musiala M
11 K. Coman M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (10)
7 S. Gnabry
17 M. Olise
25 T. Müller
20 A. Ibrahimović
23 S. Boey
18 D. Peretz
15 E. Dier
39 M. Tel
22 Raphaël Guerreiro
35 M. Schmitt

Coach: V. Kompany

Paris SG

4-4-2
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
87 João Neves M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
10 O. Dembélé F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (10)
19 Lee Kang-In
9 Gonçalo Ramos
11 Marco Asensio
23 R. Kolo Muani
42 Y. Zague
1 G. Donnarumma
35 Beraldo
80 Arnau Tenas
14 D. Doué
37 M. Škriniar

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovács · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.