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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
Barcelona
S S S T U
3–0
Full-time
Brest
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
3,8
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,86 xG 0,07
76% Possession 24%
19 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 0
0 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Barcelona Brest
1–0 R. Lewandowski ⚽
10′
24′
🟨 Kenny Lala
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 Mama Baldé
↦ A. Sima
63′
🟨 Mahdi Camara
2–0 Dani Olmo ⚽
Gerard Martín
66′
Gavi 🔁
↦ Dani Olmo
68′
70′
🔁 R. Faivre
↦ M. Camara
70′
🔁 Mathias Pereira Lage
↦ K. Doumbia
74′
🟨 Ludovic Ajorque
Alejandro Balde 🔁
↦ Gerard Martín
78′
Pablo Torre 🔁
↦ Fermín López
78′
78′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ E. Fernandes
78′
🔁 R. Del Castillo
↦ L. Ajorque
81′
🟨 Julien Le Cardinal
F. de Jong 🔁
↦ Pedri
88′
3–0 R. Lewandowski ⚽
Alejandro Balde
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 Iñaki Peña G
23 J. Koundé D
2 Pau Cubarsí D
5 Iñigo Martínez D
35 Gerard Martín D
17 Marc Casadó M
8 Pedri M
11 Raphinha M
20 Dani Olmo M
16 Fermín López M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (12)
6 Gavi
3 Alejandro Balde
14 Pablo Torre
21 F. de Jong
41 Guille Fernández
36 Sergi Domínguez
24 Eric García
39 Andrés Cuenca
25 W. Szczęsny
32 Héctor Fort
31 D. Kochen
18 Pau Víctor

Coach: H. Flick

Brest

4-3-1-2
40 M. Bizot G
7 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
25 J. Le Cardinal D
22 M. Haïdara D
45 M. Camara M
6 E. Fernandes M
8 H. Magnetti M
9 K. Doumbia M
17 A. Sima F
19 L. Ajorque F
Bench (11)
14 Mama Baldé
21 R. Faivre
26 Mathias Pereira Lage
28 J. Martin
10 R. Del Castillo
30 G. Coudert
3 A. Ndiaye
23 J. Amavi
34 I. Salah
11 A. Camblan
50 N. Jauny

Coach: E. Roy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.