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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
PSV Eindhoven
U S U T U
3–1
Full-time
Juventus
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 61%
78%
44%
Average goals
3,4
2,1
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,40 xG 1,76
59% Possession 41%
25 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.