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Champions League
Referee: I Kovács
Juventus
U U S U T
0–2
Full-time
Benfica
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
29%
71%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,95 xG 2,39
67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -22 Benfica – Juventus 4–3 14. Sep -22 Juventus – Benfica 1–2

Match report

Juventus Benfica
M. Locatelli 🔁
↦ P. Kalulu
16′
16′
⚽ V. Pavlidis 0–1
A. Bah
Half-time 0–1
Dušan Vlahović 🟨
55′
T. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ K. Thuram
61′
N. González 🔁
↦ S. Mbangula
61′
63′
🟨 Nicolás Otamendi
72′
🔁 K. Aktürkoğlu
↦ Á. Di María
72′
🔁 L. Barreiro
↦ A. Schjelderup
78′
🟨 Alexander Bah
80′
⚽ O. Kökçü 0–2
V. Pavlidis
84′
🔁 Z. Amdouni
↦ V. Pavlidis
92′
🔁 B. Rollheiser
↦ O. Kökçü
92′
🔁 João Rêgo
↦ Tomás Araújo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Juventus

4-2-3-1
1 M. Perin G
22 T. Weah D
4 F. Gatti D
15 P. Kalulu D
16 W. McKennie D
19 K. Thuram M
26 Douglas Luiz M
7 Francisco Conceição M
10 K. Yıldız M
51 S. Mbangula M
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (9)
5 M. Locatelli
8 T. Koopmeiners
11 N. González
40 J. Rouhi
23 C. Pinsoglio
37 N. Savona
17 V. Adžić
29 M. Di Gregorio
21 N. Fagioli

Coach: T. Motta

Benfica

4-3-3
1 A. Trubin G
44 Tomás Araújo D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
6 A. Bah D
8 F. Aursnes M
61 Florentino M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 Á. Di María F
14 V. Pavlidis F
21 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (12)
17 K. Aktürkoğlu
18 L. Barreiro
7 Z. Amdouni
32 B. Rollheiser
84 João Rêgo
24 Samuel Soares
25 G. Prestianni
55 João Fonseca
37 J. Beste
71 Leandro Santos
81 A. Bajrami
60 Nuno Félix

Coach: Bruno Lage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovács · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.