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Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Dortmund
S S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
89%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
4,1
3,1
Scored
2,8
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,86 xG 0,34
55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Feb -25 Sp Lisbon – Dortmund 0–3

Match report

Dortmund Sp Lisbon
40′
🔁 Z. Debast
↦ João Simões
Half-time 0–0
M. Beier 🔁
↦ J. Gittens
46′
46′
🔁 Alexandre Brito
↦ M. Hjulmand
56′
🔁 Afonso Moreira
↦ Gonçalo Inácio
56′
🔁 M. Araújo
↦ Biel
Serhou Guirassy ❌
penalty missed
58′
G. Reyna 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
69′
J. Duranville 🔁
↦ S. Guirassy
69′
Marcel Sabitzer 🟨
74′
84′
🔁 Lucas Anjos
↦ Geovany Quenda
W. Anton 🔁
↦ M. Sabitzer
89′
R. Bensebaini 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
26 J. Ryerson D
23 E. Can D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
24 D. Svensson D
20 M. Sabitzer M
13 P. Groß M
27 K. Adeyemi M
10 J. Brandt M
43 J. Gittens M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (12)
14 M. Beier
7 G. Reyna
16 J. Duranville
3 W. Anton
5 R. Bensebaini
17 C. Chukwuemeka
6 S. Özcan
37 C. Campbell
35 M. Lotka
33 A. Meyer
25 N. Süle
2 Yan Couto

Coach: N. Kovač

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
24 Rui Silva G
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
26 O. Diomande D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
42 M. Hjulmand M
52 João Simões M
2 Matheus Reis M
57 Geovany Quenda F
30 Biel F
19 C. Harder F
Bench (12)
6 Z. Debast
50 Alexandre Brito
90 Afonso Moreira
20 M. Araújo
67 Lucas Anjos
55 José Silva
1 F. Israel
22 Iván Fresneda
88 Manuel Mendonça
86 Rafael Nel
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo
41 Diego Callai

Coach: Rui Borges

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.