← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: M Mariani
Paris SG
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Aston Villa
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Paris SG Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
3,2
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 64%
58%
70%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 32%
33%
30%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,94 xG 0,74
75% Possession 25%
29 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 2
11 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Paris SG Aston Villa
17′
🟨 Matty Cash
35′
⚽ M. Rogers 0–1
Y. Tielemans
1–1 D. Doué ⚽
Nuno Mendes
39′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Disasi
↦ M. Cash
2–1 K. Kvaratskhelia ⚽
Fabián Ruiz
49′
59′
🔁 Marco Asensio
↦ J. Ramsey
W. Zaïre-Emery 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
72′
B. Barcola 🔁
↦ D. Doué
72′
79′
🔁 O. Watkins
↦ M. Rashford
80′
🔁 I. Maatsen
↦ Y. Tielemans
80′
🔁 A. Onana
↦ J. McGinn
3–1 Nuno Mendes ⚽
O. Dembélé
92′
Gonçalo Ramos 🔁
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
35 Beraldo D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
87 João Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Doué F
10 O. Dembélé F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (10)
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
29 B. Barcola
9 Gonçalo Ramos
21 L. Hernández
19 Lee Kang-In
24 S. Mayulu
49 I. Mbaye
39 M. Safonov
80 Arnau Tenas
3 P. Kimpembe

Coach: Luis Enrique

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martínez G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
14 Pau Torres D
12 L. Digne D
44 B. Kamara M
8 Y. Tielemans M
27 M. Rogers M
7 J. McGinn M
41 J. Ramsey M
9 M. Rashford F
Bench (10)
3 A. Disasi
21 Marco Asensio
11 O. Watkins
22 I. Maatsen
24 A. Onana
6 R. Barkley
5 T. Mings
26 L. Bogarde
25 R. Olsen
52 S. Proctor

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.