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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Aston Villa
S T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Club Brugge
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 56%
67%
45%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
64%
Both score Ø 49%
33%
64%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,45 xG 0,12
53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Mar -25 Club Brugge – Aston Villa 1–3 6. Nov -24 Club Brugge – Aston Villa 1–0

Match report

Aston Villa Club Brugge
16′
🟥 Kyriani Sabbe
Half-time 0–0
Marco Asensio 🔁
↦ O. Watkins
46′
L. Bailey 🔁
↦ B. Kamara
46′
1–0 Marco Asensio ⚽
L. Bailey
50′
2–0 I. Maatsen ⚽
M. Rogers
57′
58′
🔁 C. Nielsen
↦ A. Jashari
58′
🔁 M. Skóraś
↦ C. Talbi
58′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ Ferran Jutglà
58′
🔁 Z. Romero
↦ J. Ordoñez
3–0 Marco Asensio ⚽
M. Rashford
61′
Pau Torres 🔁
↦ T. Mings
66′
J. Ramsey 🔁
↦ M. Rogers
66′
66′
🔁 H. Siquet
↦ C. Tzolis
69′
🟨 Hans Vanaken
A. Disasi 🔁
↦ M. Cash
73′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martínez G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
5 T. Mings D
22 I. Maatsen D
44 B. Kamara M
8 Y. Tielemans M
27 M. Rogers M
7 J. McGinn M
9 M. Rashford M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (10)
21 Marco Asensio
31 L. Bailey
14 Pau Torres
41 J. Ramsey
3 A. Disasi
24 A. Onana
26 L. Bogarde
25 R. Olsen
12 L. Digne
48 O. Zych

Coach: Unai Emery

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
64 K. Sabbe D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
15 R. Onyedika M
30 A. Jashari M
68 C. Talbi M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (10)
27 C. Nielsen
21 M. Skóraś
19 G. Nilsson
2 Z. Romero
41 H. Siquet
29 N. Jackers
84 S. Campbell
58 J. Spileers
10 H. Vetlesen
17 R. Vermant

Coach: N. Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.