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Champions League
Referee: E Eskås
Barcelona
S S S S U
4–0
Full-time
Dortmund
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/12 matches
Win Ø 69%
80%
58%
Points per game
2,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
90%
75%
Both score Ø 64%
70%
58%
Average goals
4,6
3,5
Scored
3,2
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,71 xG 1,29
60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Dec -24 Dortmund – Barcelona 2–3

Match report

Barcelona Dortmund
24′
🟨 Karim Adeyemi
1–0 Raphinha ⚽
Pau Cubarsí
25′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Beier
↦ K. Adeyemi
2–0 R. Lewandowski ⚽
Raphinha
48′
3–0 R. Lewandowski ⚽
Fermín López
66′
67′
🔁 S. Özcan
↦ F. Nmecha
68′
🔁 G. Reyna
↦ C. Chukwuemeka
74′
🟨 Serhou Guirassy
Gavi 🔁
↦ Fermín López
74′
4–0 Lamine Yamal ⚽
Raphinha
77′
79′
🔁 J. Duranville
↦ J. Gittens
79′
🔁 N. Süle
↦ J. Ryerson
Eric García 🔁
↦ Pedri
81′
R. Araujo 🔁
↦ Iñigo Martínez
81′
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ R. Lewandowski
81′
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ Lamine Yamal
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
25 W. Szczęsny G
23 J. Koundé D
2 Pau Cubarsí D
5 Iñigo Martínez D
3 Alejandro Balde D
21 F. de Jong M
8 Pedri M
19 Lamine Yamal M
16 Fermín López M
11 Raphinha M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (12)
6 Gavi
24 Eric García
4 R. Araujo
7 Ferran Torres
10 Ansu Fati
18 Pau Víctor
14 Pablo Torre
13 Iñaki Peña
15 A. Christensen
31 D. Kochen
32 Héctor Fort
35 Gerard Martín

Coach: H. Flick

Dortmund

4-5-1
1 G. Kobel G
26 J. Ryerson D
23 E. Can D
3 W. Anton D
5 R. Bensebaini D
43 J. Gittens M
10 J. Brandt M
8 F. Nmecha M
17 C. Chukwuemeka M
27 K. Adeyemi M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (11)
14 M. Beier
6 S. Özcan
7 G. Reyna
16 J. Duranville
25 N. Süle
2 Yan Couto
33 A. Meyer
35 M. Lotka
38 K. Wätjen
42 A. Kabar
24 D. Svensson

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.