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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Inter
S U U S S
2–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 11/13 matches
Win Ø 72%
82%
62%
Points per game
2,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
36%
62%
Both score Ø 36%
18%
54%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,49 xG 1,40
38% Possession 62%
15 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Apr -25 Bayern Munich – Inter 1–2 1. Nov -22 Bayern Munich – Inter 2–0 7. Sep -22 Inter – Bayern Munich 0–2

Match report

Inter Bayern Munich
Federico Dimarco 🟨
-5′
Marko Arnautović 🟨
-5′
28′
🟨 Min-jae Kim
45′
🟨 Eric Dier
Half-time 0–1
52′
⚽ H. Kane 0–1
L. Goretzka
1–1 L. Martínez ⚽
58′
2–1 B. Pavard ⚽
H. Çalhanoğlu
61′
65′
🔁 Raphaël Guerreiro
↦ Kim Min-Jae
65′
🔁 S. Gnabry
↦ L. Sané
Carlos Augusto 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
73′
76′
⚽ E. Dier 2–2
S. Gnabry
M. Taremi 🔁
↦ L. Martínez
81′
83′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ K. Laimer
83′
🔁 A. Pavlović
↦ L. Goretzka
Y. Bisseck 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
87′
D. Frattesi 🔁
↦ N. Barella
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
36 M. Darmian M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (12)
30 Carlos Augusto
99 M. Taremi
31 Y. Bisseck
16 D. Frattesi
21 K. Asllani
12 R. Di Gennaro
58 M. Cocchi
52 T. Berenbruch
59 N. Zalewski
8 M. Arnautović
6 S. de Vrij
13 Josep Martínez

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig G
27 K. Laimer D
15 E. Dier D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
44 J. Stanišić D
8 L. Goretzka M
6 J. Kimmich M
17 M. Olise M
25 T. Müller M
10 L. Sané M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (11)
22 Raphaël Guerreiro
7 S. Gnabry
11 K. Coman
45 A. Pavlović
16 João Palhinha
24 G. Vidović
46 L. Karl
18 D. Peretz
48 L. Klanac
41 J. Kusi-Asare
23 S. Boey

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.