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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Barcelona
S T S S S
3–3
Full-time
Inter
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
92%
42%
Both score Ø 46%
67%
25%
Average goals
4,5
2,0
Scored
3,1
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,38 xG 0,91
72% Possession 28%
19 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Oct -22 Barcelona – Inter 3–3 4. Oct -22 Inter – Barcelona 1–0

Match report

Barcelona Inter
1′
⚽ M. Thuram 0–1
D. Dumfries
21′
⚽ D. Dumfries 0–2
F. Acerbi
1–2 Lamine Yamal ⚽
24′
2–2 Ferran Torres ⚽
Raphinha
38′
Eric García 🔁
↦ J. Koundé
42′
Half-time 2–2
R. Araujo 🔁
↦ Gerard Martín
46′
46′
🔁 M. Taremi
↦ L. Martínez
56′
🔁 Carlos Augusto
↦ F. Dimarco
59′
🟨 Hakan Çalhanoğlu
63′
⚽ D. Dumfries 2–3
H. Çalhanoğlu
2–4 Y. Sommer ⚽
own goal
65′
Fermín López 🔁
↦ Dani Olmo
68′
Pau Cubarsí 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 D. Frattesi
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
81′
🔁 M. Darmian
↦ D. Dumfries
81′
🔁 P. Zieliński
↦ M. Thuram
Gavi 🔁
↦ Pedri
83′
A. Christensen 🔁
↦ Pau Cubarsí
83′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
25 W. Szczęsny G
23 J. Koundé D
2 Pau Cubarsí D
5 Iñigo Martínez D
35 Gerard Martín D
21 F. de Jong M
8 Pedri M
19 Lamine Yamal M
20 Dani Olmo M
11 Raphinha M
7 Ferran Torres F
Bench (11)
24 Eric García
4 R. Araujo
16 Fermín López
6 Gavi
15 A. Christensen
18 Pau Víctor
14 Pablo Torre
10 Ansu Fati
32 Héctor Fort
26 Ander Astralaga
13 Iñaki Peña

Coach: H. Flick

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
31 Y. Bisseck D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (12)
99 M. Taremi
30 Carlos Augusto
16 D. Frattesi
36 M. Darmian
7 P. Zieliński
59 N. Zalewski
12 R. Di Gennaro
8 M. Arnautović
21 K. Asllani
6 S. de Vrij
56 G. Re Cecconi
13 Josep Martínez

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.