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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Barcelona
T S S T S
3–3
Full-time
Inter
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
25 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -22 Inter – Barcelona 1–0

Match report

Barcelona Inter
1–0 O. Dembélé ⚽
Sergi Roberto
40′
Half-time 1–1
50′
⚽ N. Barella 1–1
A. Bastoni
52′
🟨 Lautaro Martínez
55′
🟨 Stefan de Vrij
F. de Jong 🔁
↦ Sergio Busquets
63′
63′
⚽ Lautaro Martínez 1–2
H. Çalhanoğlu
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ Raphinha
64′
67′
🔁 M. Darmian
↦ F. Dimarco
Sergi Roberto 🟨
72′
F. Kessié 🔁
↦ Sergi Roberto
72′
Alejandro Balde 🔁
↦ Marcos Alonso
72′
76′
🔁 R. Bellanova
↦ E. Džeko
76′
🔁 R. Gosens
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
Ousmane Dembélé 🟨
78′
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ Gavi
82′
2–2 R. Lewandowski ⚽
82′
84′
🟨 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
85′
🔁 K. Asllani
↦ N. Barella
85′
🔁 F. Acerbi
↦ A. Bastoni
89′
⚽ R. Gosens 2–3
Lautaro Martínez
3–3 R. Lewandowski ⚽
Eric García
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
20 Sergi Roberto D
24 Eric García D
3 Piqué D
17 Marcos Alonso D
30 Gavi M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Pedri M
7 O. Dembélé F
9 R. Lewandowski F
22 Raphinha F
Bench (10)
21 F. de Jong
10 Ansu Fati
19 F. Kessié
28 Alejandro Balde
11 Ferran Torres
26 Iñaki Peña
32 Pablo Torre
36 Arnau Tenas
18 Jordi Alba
29 Marc Casadó

Coach: Xavi

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
37 M. Škriniar D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
36 M. Darmian
12 R. Bellanova
8 R. Gosens
14 K. Asllani
15 F. Acerbi
1 S. Handanovič
33 D. D'Ambrosio
5 R. Gagliardini
40 N. Botis
50 A. Stanković
42 D. Curatolo
45 V. Carboni

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.