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Europa League
Referee: D Strukan
Lazio
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Ludogorets
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,11 xG 0,16
62% Possession 38%
20 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lazio Ludogorets
Luca Pellegrini 🟨
27′
36′
🟨 Edvin Kurtulus
Loum Tchaouna 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
M. Lazzari 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
46′
G. Isaksen 🔁
↦ L. Tchaouna
46′
V. Castellanos 🔁
↦ B. Dia
46′
Samuel Gigot 🟨
60′
N. Rovella 🔁
↦ M. Vecino
60′
68′
🔁 K. Duah
↦ Rwan Cruz
Patric 🟨
72′
Nicolò Rovella 🟨
72′
Gustav Isaksen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
73′
M. Zaccagni 🔁
↦ Pedro
79′
81′
🟨 Pedro Naressi
81′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ Erick Marcus
82′
🔁 I. Yordanov
↦ D. Gropper
Gustav Isaksen 🟨
84′
89′
🔁 J. Piotrowski
↦ I. Chochev
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lazio

4-4-2
35 C. Mandas G
77 A. Marušić D
4 Patric D
2 S. Gigot D
3 L. Pellegrini D
20 L. Tchaouna M
5 M. Vecino M
8 M. Guendouzi M
9 Pedro M
19 B. Dia F
14 T. Noslin F
Bench (12)
29 M. Lazzari
18 G. Isaksen
11 V. Castellanos
6 N. Rovella
10 M. Zaccagni
53 L. Di Tommaso
13 A. Romagnoli
34 Mario Gila
94 I. Provedel
7 F. Dele-Bashiru
55 A. Furlanetto
58 A. Milani

Coach: M. Baroni

Ludogorets

4-1-4-1
39 H. Bonmann G
16 A. Witry D
15 E. Kurtulus D
4 Dinis Almeida D
17 Son D
30 Pedro Naressi M
77 Erick Marcus M
18 I. Chochev M
23 Deroy Duarte M
14 D. Gropper M
12 Rwan Cruz F
Bench (9)
9 K. Duah
20 A. Camara
82 I. Yordanov
6 J. Piotrowski
24 O. Verdon
67 D. Hristov
1 S. Padt
19 G. Rusev
5 G. Terziev

Coach: I. Jovičević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Strukan · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.