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Champions League
Referee: E Masiyev
HNK Rijeka
S U T U T
0–0
Full-time
Ludogorets
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

HNK Rijeka Ludogorets
34′
🟨 Olivier Verdon
36′
🟨 Yves Erick Bile
Ante Oreč 🟨
38′
Mladen Devetak 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Chouiar
↦ E. Bile
51′
🟨 Filip Kaloč
56′
🟨 Bernard Tekpetey
G. Rukavina 🔁
↦ L. Menalo
63′
A. Gojak 🔁
↦ T. Dantas
63′
67′
🔁 P. Stanic
↦ F. Kaloc
67′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ B. Tekpetey
73′
🟨 Deroy Duarte
J. Lasickas 🔁
↦ M. Ndockyt
73′
79′
🔁 Pedro Naressi
↦ J. Piotrowski
87′
🔁 S. Ivanov
↦ Erick Marcus
90′
🟨 Son
S. Butic 🔁
↦ A. Orec
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-3-3
13 M. Zlomislic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
6 S. Radeljic D
34 M. Devetak D
26 T. Dantas M
4 N. Jankovic M
8 D. Petrovic M
20 M. Ndockyt M
10 T. Fruk M
17 L. Menalo M
Bench (12)
99 A. Todorovic
2 L. Kitin
9 D. Cop
11 G. Rukavina
14 A. Gojak
15 J. Manev
23 J. Lasickas
25 D. Thaqi
27 S. Butic
51 A. Husic
64 D. Yankov
77 A. Juric

Coach: Victor Sanchez

Ludogorets

5-3-2
39 H. Bonmann G
17 Son D
24 O. Verdon D
15 E. Kurtulus D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
11 Caio Vidal M
37 B. Tekpetey M
26 F. Kaloc M
6 J. Piotrowski M
77 Erick Marcus M
29 E. Bile F
Bench (12)
1 S. Padt
67 D. Hristov
2 J. Andersson
8 M. Chouiar
14 P. Stanic
18 I. Chochev
23 D. Duarte
30 Pedro Naressi
42 S. Shishkov
73 F. Gigov
80 M. Stefanov
99 S. Ivanov

Coach: Per-Mathias Hogmo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.