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Champions League
Referee: A Ruiz
KuPS
S T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Kairat Almaty
T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

KuPS Kairat Almaty
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
1,3
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

KuPS Kairat Almaty
Jaakko Oksanen 🟨
12′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Toure ⚽
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
49′
65′
🔁 D. Satpaev
↦ Edmilson
65′
🔁 O. Arad
↦ D. Kasabulat
2–0 J. Oksanen ⚽
S. Savolainen
71′
73′
🔁 G. Zaria
↦ Jorginho
73′
🔁 Ricardinho
↦ V. Gromyko
J. Voutilainen 🔁
↦ M. Toure
74′
A. Sadiku 🔁
↦ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
74′
A. Heinonen 🔁
↦ P. Pennanen
82′
84′
🟨 Dan Glazer
B. Armah 🔁
↦ O. Ruoppi
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

KuPS

4-3-3
1 J. Kreidl G
6 S. Savolainen D
15 I. Cisse D
16 S. Miettinen D
22 N. Hamalainen D
34 O. Ruoppi M
13 J. Oksanen M
10 D. Arifi M
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba F
20 M. Toure F
8 P. Pennanen M
Bench (8)
12 A. Hakala
7 J. Voutilainen
11 A. Sadiku
17 A. Heinonen
23 A. Lotjonen
24 B. Armah
30 L. Sahimaa
32 R. Tikkanen

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Kairat Almaty

4-3-3
1 A. Zarutskiy G
24 A. Mrynskiy D
14 A. Martynovich D
80 E. Sorokin D
3 L. Mata D
20 E. Tapalov D
18 D. Glazer M
4 D. Kasabulat M
55 V. Gromyko M
26 Edmilson F
7 Jorginho M
Bench (10)
77 T. Anarbekov
6 A. Sadybekov
9 D. Satpaev
10 G. Zaria
15 O. Arad
17 O. Baybek
25 A. Shirobokov
44 L. Gadrani
89 R. Bagdat
99 Ricardinho

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Ruiz · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.