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Champions League
Referee: M Balakin
Pafos
U U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Maccabi Tel Aviv
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Pafos Maccabi Tel Aviv
27′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
31′
🟨 Weslley Patati
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Tyrese Asante
46′
🔁 Heitor
↦ M. Camara
63′
🔁 I. Shahar
↦ B. Lederman
M. Bassouamina 🔁
↦ Anderson Silva
69′
K. Sema 🔁
↦ K. Pileas
69′
M. Orsic 🔁
↦ V. Dragomir
69′
70′
🔁 S. Jehezkel
↦ O. Davida
70′
🔁 I. Nicolaescu
↦ D. Turgeman
Muamer Tanković 🟨
75′
D. Quina 🔁
↦ M. Tankovic
78′
Jaja 🔁
↦ Bruno
78′
João Correia 🟨
79′
1–0 M. Bassouamina ⚽
81′
88′
🔁 E. Madmon
↦ Weslley Patati
David Goldar 🟨
90′
90′
⚽ E. Madmon 1–1
Jajá 🟨
96′
Domingos Quina 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
93 N. Michail G
77 J. Correia M
23 D. Luckassen D
5 D. Goldar D
2 K. Pileas D
7 Bruno D
26 I. Sunjic M
88 Pepe M
30 V. Dragomir M
22 M. Tankovic M
33 Anderson Silva F
Bench (10)
82 P. Petrou
99 A. Papadoudis
8 D. Quina
9 M. Bassouamina
11 Jaja
12 K. Sema
17 M. Orsic
25 B. Langa
35 Pedrao
70 M. Ilia

Coach: Albert Celades

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-3-3
1 Y. Gerafi G
6 T. Asante D
18 N. Stojic D
5 M. Camara D
3 R. Revivo D
42 D. Peretz M
23 B. Lederman M
28 I. Sissokho M
77 O. Davida M
9 D. Turgeman F
10 Weslley Patati M
Bench (12)
22 O. Melika
90 R. Mishpati
4 Heitor
11 S. Jehezkel
13 R. Shlomo
14 D. Gropper
19 E. Madmon
20 H. Addo
21 N. Ben Harush
30 I. Noy
36 I. Shahar
98 I. Nicolaescu

Coach: Ronny Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Balakin · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.