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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Sturm Graz
U S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,3
3,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
5,0
Conceded
5,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -25 Bodo/Glimt – Sturm Graz 5–0

Match report

Sturm Graz Bodo/Glimt
15′
⚽ M. Jorgensen 0–1
J. Hauge
1–1 S. Jatta ⚽
30′
Dimitri Lavalėe 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 D. Bassi
↦ J. Hauge
F. Rozga 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
58′
L. Grgic 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
59′
T. Oermann 🔁
↦ A. Malic
62′
63′
🟨 Villads Nielsen
69′
🔁 A. Klynge
↦ U. Saltnes
69′
🔁 M. Riisnaes
↦ M. Jorgensen
2–1 T. Oermann ⚽
L. Grgic
73′
Tim Oermann 🟨
77′
J. Beck 🔁
↦ W. Boving
77′
J. Hodl 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
77′
87′
🔁 S. Auklend
↦ H. Evjen
93′
🔁 M. Bro Hansen
↦ F. Sjovold
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 O. Christensen G
23 A. Malic D
47 E. Aiwu D
24 D. Lavalee D
17 E. Karic D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
21 T. Chukwuani M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
15 W. Boving F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (11)
32 C. Wiener-Pucher
40 M. Bignetti
5 T. Oermann
8 F. Rozga
14 K. Bendra
22 J. Beck
25 S. Hierlander
26 B. Beganovic
27 G. Haider
38 L. Grgic
43 J. Hodl

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
20 F. Sjovold D
2 V. Nielsen D
4 O. L. Bjortuft D
15 F. Bjorkan D
26 H. Evjen M
7 P. Berg M
14 U. Saltnes M
30 M. Jorgensen F
9 K. Hogh F
10 J. Hauge F
Bench (12)
1 J. Lund
44 M. Brondbo
5 H. Aleesami
6 J. Gundersen
8 S. Auklend
17 S. Burakovsky
19 S. Fet
21 A. Helmersen
22 A. Klynge
23 M. Riisnaes
24 D. Bassi
77 M. Bro Hansen

Coach: Kjetil Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.