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League Cup

Referee: Robert Jones

Sheffield Weds

U T U T U

1–1

Full-time

Leeds

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

20% Possession 80%

6 Shots 25

2 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 9

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Doncaster	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.1	6
2	Bradford	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.7	6
3	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
4	Cambridge United	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.1	6
5	Southampton	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.8	6
6	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.8	6
7	Reading	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.3	6
8	Millwall	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
9	Port Vale	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
10	Wigan	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
11	Accrington ST	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.9	6
12	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
13	Wrexham	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
14	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.5	4
15	Plymouth	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.0	4
16	Wycombe	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
17	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.5	3
18	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
19	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
20	Mansfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
21	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
22	Stockport County	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.9	3
23	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
24	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
25	Charlton	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.8	3
26	Preston	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
27	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
28	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
29	Cheltenham	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.5	3
30	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.9	3
31	Huddersfield	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.1	2
32	Bromley	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
33	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
34	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
35	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
36	Fleetwood Town	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
37	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
38	Barnet	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
39	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
40	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
41	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
42	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
43	Gillingham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
44	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
45	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
46	Derby	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
47	AFC Wimbledon	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
48	Newport County	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
49	Rotherham	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
50	Burton Albion	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
51	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.6	1
52	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
53	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
54	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
55	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
56	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
57	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
58	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
59	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
60	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
61	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
62	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
63	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
64	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
65	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
66	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
67	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
68	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
69	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.8	0
70	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
71	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.5	0
72	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
73	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
74	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
75	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
76	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0
77	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
78	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
2	Wigan	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
3	Accrington ST	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.9	6
4	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
5	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.5	4
6	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
7	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.5	3
8	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
9	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
10	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
11	Cheltenham	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
12	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
13	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
14	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
15	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
16	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
17	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
18	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
19	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
20	Bromley	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
21	Wrexham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
22	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
23	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
24	Barnet	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
25	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
26	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
27	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
28	Gillingham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
29	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
30	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.6	1
31	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
32	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
33	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
34	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
35	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
36	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
37	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
38	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
39	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
40	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
41	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.8	0
42	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
43	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
44	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0
45	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
46	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Doncaster	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.1	6
2	Bradford	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.7	6
3	Southampton	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.8	6
4	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.8	6
5	Port Vale	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
6	Wycombe	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
7	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
8	Mansfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
9	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
10	Wrexham	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
11	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
12	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
13	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
14	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
15	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
16	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
17	Fleetwood Town	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
18	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
19	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
20	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
21	Plymouth	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
22	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
23	Burton Albion	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
24	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
25	Derby	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
26	AFC Wimbledon	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
27	Rotherham	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
28	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
29	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
30	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
31	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
32	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
33	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
34	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
35	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
36	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
37	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
38	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
39	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
40	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
41	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.5	0
42	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
43	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
44	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
45	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
46	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.