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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Pafos
U S S S S
1–1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,2
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Aug -25 FK Crvena Zvezda – Pafos 1–2

Match report

Pafos FK Crvena Zvezda
33′
🟨 Miloš Veljković
33′
🟨 Rade Krunić
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Shavy Warren Babicka
56′
🔁 N. Radonjic
↦ S. Babicka
56′
🔁 M. Arnautovic
↦ Bruno Duarte
60′
⚽ M. Ivanic 0–1
C. Ndiaye
Jaja 🔁
↦ M. Orsic
62′
B. Langa 🔁
↦ K. Pileas
62′
M. Bassouamina 🔁
↦ Anderson Silva
68′
Jajá 🟨
79′
Bruno 🟨
86′
1–1 Jaja ⚽
Pepe
89′
91′
🔁 A. Katai
↦ T. Elsnik
91′
🔁 P. Olayinka
↦ M. Ivanic
Pedrao 🔁
↦ Bruno
95′
Pêpê 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
93 N. Michail G
7 Bruno D
23 D. Luckassen D
5 D. Goldar D
2 K. Pileas D
88 Pepe M
26 I. Sunjic M
77 J. Correia M
30 V. Dragomir M
17 M. Orsic M
33 Anderson Silva F
Bench (9)
82 P. Petrou
99 A. Papadoudis
8 D. Quina
9 M. Bassouamina
11 Jaja
12 K. Sema
22 M. Tankovic
25 B. Langa
35 Pedrao

Coach: Albert Celades

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
44 V. Milosavljevic D
13 M. Veljkovic D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
33 R. Krunic M
21 T. Elsnik M
80 S. Babicka M
17 Bruno Duarte M
4 M. Ivanic M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
18 O. Glazer
77 I. Gutesa
5 Rodrigo
6 M. Bajo
7 Milson
10 A. Katai
14 P. Olayinka
22 V. Kostov
24 N. Stankovic
30 F. Tebo Uchenna
49 N. Radonjic
89 M. Arnautovic

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.