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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Man City
S S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Napoli
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,18 xG 0,17
74% Possession 26%
23 Shots 1
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Man City Napoli
20′
ℹ️ Giovanni Di Lorenzo
VAR: Card upgrade
21′
🟥 Giovanni Di Lorenzo
26′
🔁 M. Olivera
↦ K. De Bruyne
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Matteo Politano
55′
🔁 Juan Jesus
↦ M. Politano
1–0 E. Haaland
P. Foden
56′
Nico 🔁
↦ Rodri
60′
2–0 J. Doku
T. Reijnders
65′
Savinho 🔁
↦ J. Doku
69′
71′
🔁 B. Gilmour
↦ S. Lobotka
71′
🔁 David Neres
↦ R. Hojlund
71′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ F. Anguissa
N. Ake 🔁
↦ J. Gvardiol
80′
O. Bobb 🔁
↦ E. Haaland
80′
R. Lewis 🔁
↦ T. Reijnders
80′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Man City

4-1-4-1
25 G. Donnarumma G
45 A. Khusanov D
3 R. Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
33 N. O'Reilly D
16 Rodri M
20 B. Silva M
47 P. Foden M
4 T. Reijnders M
11 J. Doku M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (10)
1 J. Trafford
13 M. Bettinelli
6 N. Ake
14 Nico
26 Savinho
27 M. Nunes
52 O. Bobb
63 D. Mukasa
82 R. Lewis
91 S. Mfuni

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Napoli

4-1-4-1
32 V. Milinkovic-Savic G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
31 S. Beukema D
4 A. Buongiorno D
37 L. Spinazzola D
68 S. Lobotka M
21 M. Politano M
99 F. Anguissa M
11 K. De Bruyne M
8 S. McTominay M
19 R. Hojlund F
Bench (12)
1 A. Meret
25 M. Ferrante
3 M. Gutierrez
5 Juan Jesus
6 B. Gilmour
7 David Neres
17 M. Olivera
20 E. Elmas
26 A. Vergara
27 L. Lucca
69 G. Ambrosino
70 N. Lang

Coach: Antonio Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.