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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
Newcastle
T U T U S
1–2
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
4,0
Scored
0,5
3,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,46 xG 1,31
36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Newcastle Barcelona
Joelinton 🟨
28′
45′
🟨 Gerard Martín
Half-time 0–0
Dan Burn 🟨
47′
58′
⚽ M. Rashford 0–1
J. Kounde
N. Woltemade 🔁
↦ H. Barnes
62′
J. Willock 🔁
↦ Joelinton
62′
M. Thiaw 🔁
↦ F. Schar
63′
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ A. Elanga
63′
67′
⚽ M. Rashford 0–2
69′
🔁 F. Torres
↦ P. Cubarsi
70′
🔁 A. Christensen
↦ R. Lewandowski
75′
🟨 Fermín López
S. Botman 🔁
↦ K. Trippier
76′
81′
🔁 D. Olmo
↦ M. Rashford
81′
🔁 E. Garcia
↦ G. Martin
82′
🟨 Frenkie de Jong
1–2 A. Gordon ⚽
J. Murphy
90′
93′
🔁 M. Casado
↦ Fermín
97′
🟨 Marc Casadó
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-3-3
1 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
5 F. Schar D
33 D. Burn D
21 V. Livramento D
39 Bruno Guimaraes M
8 S. Tonali M
7 Joelinton M
20 A. Elanga F
10 A. Gordon F
11 H. Barnes F
Bench (12)
31 M. Thompson
32 A. Ramsdale
3 L. Hall
4 S. Botman
12 M. Thiaw
17 E. Krafth
18 W. Osula
23 J. Murphy
27 N. Woltemade
28 J. Willock
37 A. Murphy
67 L. Miley

Coach: Eddie Howe

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 J. Garcia G
23 J. Kounde D
4 R. Araujo D
5 P. Cubarsi D
18 G. Martin D
21 F. de Jong M
8 Pedri M
11 Raphinha M
16 Fermín M
14 M. Rashford M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (11)
25 W. Szczesny
31 D. Kochen
7 F. Torres
15 A. Christensen
17 M. Casado
20 D. Olmo
22 M. Bernal
24 E. Garcia
26 J. Torrents
28 R. Bardghji
29 T. Fernandez

Coach: Hansi Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.