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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Ath Madrid
T S T U S
4–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,2
4,2
Scored
2,7
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 49%
44%
54%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 91%
89%
92%
Both score Ø 72%
89%
54%
Average goals
4,2
4,2
Scored
2,2
2,4
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,10 xG 1,75
45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Feb -26 Club Brugge – Ath Madrid 3–3 12. Oct -22 Ath Madrid – Club Brugge 0–0 4. Oct -22 Club Brugge – Ath Madrid 2–0

Match report

Ath Madrid Club Brugge
1–0 A. Sorloth ⚽
J. Oblak
23′
36′
⚽ J. Ordonez 1–1
B. Mechele
40′
🟨 Joel Ordóñez
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Cardoso ⚽
48′
A. Griezmann 🔁
↦ J. Alvarez
58′
65′
🔁 R. Vermant
↦ N. Tresoldi
65′
🔁 M. Diakhon
↦ H. Vetlesen
N. Molina 🔁
↦ Koke
70′
A. Lookman 🔁
↦ A. Baena
70′
3–1 A. Sorloth ⚽
A. Lookman
76′
82′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ C. Tzolis
82′
🔁 F. Lemarechal
↦ J. Seys
J. M. Gimenez 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
83′
R. Mendoza 🔁
↦ J. Cardoso
83′
Marcos Llorente 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Romeo Vermant
4–1 A. Sorloth ⚽
M. Ruggeri
87′
88′
🔁 B. Meijer
↦ B. Mechele
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
14 M. Llorente D
18 M. Pubill D
17 D. Hancko D
3 M. Ruggeri D
20 G. Simeone M
6 Koke M
5 J. Cardoso M
10 A. Baena M
9 A. Sorloth F
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (11)
1 J. Musso
31 S. Esquivel
2 J. M. Gimenez
4 R. Mendoza
7 A. Griezmann
11 T. Almada
15 C. Lenglet
16 N. Molina
21 O. Vargas
22 A. Lookman
24 R. Le Normand

Coach: Diego Simeone

Club Brugge

4-1-4-1
22 S. Mignolet G
64 K. Sabbe D
4 J. Ordonez D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
25 A. Stankovic M
9 C. Forbs M
10 H. Vetlesen M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
7 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (12)
29 N. Jackers
71 A. De Corte
11 C. Sandra
14 B. Meijer
17 R. Vermant
19 G. Nilsson
24 V. Osuji
41 H. Siquet
58 J. Spileers
67 M. Diakhon
80 F. Lemarechal
84 S. Campbell

Coach: Ivan Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.