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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
Club Brugge
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 8
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Club Brugge Ath Madrid
33′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ Marcos Llorente
1–0 K. Sowah ⚽
Ferran Jutglà
36′
Denis Odoi 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
Raphael Onyedika 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 G. Kondogbia
↦ J. Giménez
53′
🟨 Reinildo Isnard Mandava
61′
🟨 Stefan Savić
2–0 Ferran Jutglà ⚽
62′
65′
🔁 Matheus Cunha
↦ Álvaro Morata
Tajon Buchanan 🟨
70′
Simon Mignolet 🟨
75′
E. Sobol 🔁
↦ B. Meijer
78′
É. Balanta 🔁
↦ T. Buchanan
79′
80′
🔁 João Félix
↦ Y. Carrasco
A. Nusa 🔁
↦ Ferran Jutglà
86′
Abakar Sylla 🟨
88′
J. Spileers 🔁
↦ A. Sylla
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-4-2
22 S. Mignolet G
6 D. Odoi D
44 B. Mechele D
94 A. Sylla D
14 B. Meijer D
17 T. Buchanan M
20 H. Vanaken M
15 R. Onyedika M
27 C. Nielsen M
19 K. Sowah F
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (11)
2 E. Sobol
3 É. Balanta
32 A. Nusa
67 J. Spileers
70 R. Yaremchuk
10 N. Lang
91 S. Lammens
77 Clinton Mata
11 C. Larin
98 C. Sandra
64 K. Sabbe

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
15 S. Savić D
2 J. Giménez D
23 Reinildo D
14 Marcos Llorente M
20 A. Witsel M
6 Koke M
21 Y. Carrasco M
8 A. Griezmann F
19 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (11)
10 Á. Correa
4 G. Kondogbia
9 Matheus Cunha
7 João Félix
11 T. Lemar
36 Marco Moreno
1 I. Grbić
5 R. De Paul
31 Antonio Gomis
22 Hermoso
17 Saúl

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.