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La Liga
Referee: M Busquets
Ath Madrid
U S T U S
0–1
Full-time
Betis
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 50%
59%
41%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,67 xG 0,70
65% Possession 35%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
6 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 3
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Betis 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 23 19 1 3 +40 +30.0 58
2 Real Madrid 22 17 3 2 +29 +28.0 54
3 Ath Madrid 22 13 6 3 +21 +10.5 45
4 Villarreal 21 13 3 5 +16 +6.9 42
5 Betis 22 9 8 5 +8 +6.3 35
6 Espanol 22 10 4 8 -1 +3.2 34
7 Celta 23 8 9 6 +5 +1.3 33
8 Sociedad 23 8 7 8 +2 +0.8 31
9 Osasuna 23 8 5 10 +0 -4.1 29
10 Ath Bilbao 23 8 4 11 -8 +6.7 28
11 Getafe 23 7 5 11 -9 -7.2 26
12 Girona 23 6 8 9 -15 -10.3 26
13 Sevilla 23 7 4 12 -8 -13.1 25
14 Alaves 23 7 4 12 -9 -2.5 25
15 Elche 23 5 9 9 -4 -17.0 24
16 Mallorca 23 6 6 11 -9 -13.0 24
17 Valencia 22 5 8 9 -12 -1.1 23
18 Vallecano 22 5 7 10 -12 +0.0 22
19 Levante 22 4 6 12 -12 -9.1 18
20 Oviedo 22 3 7 12 -22 -16.4 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Betis
Matteo Ruggeri 🟨
25′
28′
Antony 0–1
A. Ezzalzouli
Half-time 0–1
R. Le Normand 🔁
↦ M. Ruggeri
46′
A. Baena 🔁
↦ T. Almada
46′
A. Sorloth 🔁
↦ J. Alvarez
46′
A. Griezmann 🔁
↦ R. Mendoza
55′
Ademola Lookman 🟨
56′
O. Vargas 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
70′
70′
🔁 S. Altimira
↦ P. Fornals
71′
🟨 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
Diego Llorente ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
77′
79′
🔁 N. Deossa
↦ C. Bakambu
Alejandro Baena 🟨
83′
87′
🔁 M. Bartra
↦ A. Fidalgo
87′
🔁 R. Riquelme
↦ Antony
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
14 M. Llorente D
2 J. M. Gimenez D
17 D. Hancko D
3 M. Ruggeri D
20 G. Simeone M
4 R. Mendoza M
6 Koke M
11 T. Almada M
19 J. Alvarez F
22 A. Lookman F
Bench (10)
1 J. Musso
31 S. Esquivel
15 C. Lenglet
16 N. Molina
24 R. Le Normand
10 A. Baena
21 O. Vargas
42 J. Serrano
7 A. Griezmann
9 A. Sorloth

Coach: Diego Simeone

Betis

4-3-3
1 A. Valles G
24 A. Ruibal D
3 D. Llorente D
4 Natan D
12 R. Rodriguez D
8 P. Fornals M
21 M. Roca M
15 A. Fidalgo M
7 Antony F
11 C. Bakambu F
10 A. Ezzalzouli F
Bench (11)
25 P. Lopez
13 Adrian
5 M. Bartra
23 J. Firpo
16 V. Gomez
40 A. Ortiz
6 S. Altimira
18 N. Deossa
17 R. Riquelme
52 P. Garcia
29 R. Marina

Coach: Manuel Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,47
U
4,47
B ✓
6,15
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Busquets · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.