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Champions League
Referee: S Scharer
Sp Lisbon
S S S U T
5–0
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 51%
56%
46%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 91%
89%
92%
Both score Ø 78%
78%
77%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
1,9
2,2
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,78 xG 0,54
66% Possession 34%
38 Shots 9
14 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
16 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Mar -26 Bodo/Glimt – Sp Lisbon 3–0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Bodo/Glimt
6′
🟨 Ole Didrik Blomberg
1–0 G. Inacio ⚽
Trincao
34′
Half-time 1–0
Morten Hjulmand 🟨
46′
2–0 P. Goncalves ⚽
L. Suarez
61′
Z. Debast 🔁
↦ E. Quaresma
64′
68′
🟨 Kasper Høgh
D. Braganca 🔁
↦ H. Morita
68′
N. Santos 🔁
↦ P. Goncalves
68′
Iván Fresneda 🟨
74′
Iván Fresneda ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
77′
3–0 L. Suarez ⚽
78′
79′
🔁 U. Saltnes
↦ J. Hauge
79′
🔁 A. Helmersen
↦ K. Hogh
85′
🔁 I. Maatta
↦ O. Blomberg
85′
🔁 D. Bassi
↦ H. Evjen
91′
🔁 S. Auklend
↦ S. Fet
4–0 M. Araujo ⚽
Trincao
92′
Nuno Santos 🟨
104′
106′
🔁 H. Aleesami
↦ J. Gundersen
108′
🟨 Daniel Bassi
S. Faye 🔁
↦ Trincao
110′
O. Diomande 🔁
↦ M. Araujo
110′
R. Nel 🔁
↦ L. Suarez
116′
118′
🟨 Ulrik Saltnes
5–0 R. Nel ⚽
D. Braganca
120′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Silva G
22 I. Fresneda D
72 E. Quaresma D
25 G. Inacio D
20 M. Araujo D
42 M. Hjulmand M
5 H. Morita M
10 G. Catamo M
17 Trincao M
8 P. Goncalves M
97 L. Suarez F
Bench (12)
12 J. Virginia
41 Diego Callai
23 D. Braganca
11 N. Santos
15 S. Faye
26 O. Diomande
90 R. Nel
52 J. Simoes
58 F. Goncalves
13 G. Vagiannidis
6 Z. Debast
78 M. Couto

Coach: Rui Borges

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
20 F. Sjovold D
4 O. L. Bjortuft D
6 J. Gundersen D
15 F. Bjorkan D
26 H. Evjen M
7 P. Berg M
19 S. Fet M
11 O. Blomberg F
9 K. Hogh F
10 J. Hauge F
Bench (12)
45 I. Sjong
1 J. Lund
14 U. Saltnes
25 I. Maatta
22 A. Klynge
8 S. Auklend
24 D. Bassi
5 H. Aleesami
21 A. Helmersen
94 A. Mikkelsen
23 M. Riisnaes
2 V. Nielsen

Coach: Kjetil Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Scharer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.