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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Arsenal
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 63%
89%
36%
Points per game
2,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
67%
36%
Both score Ø 45%
44%
45%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,70 xG 0,52
42% Possession 58%
21 Shots 9
12 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 10
10 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
4 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Mar -26 Leverkusen – Arsenal 1–1

Match report

Arsenal Leverkusen
1–0 E. Eze ⚽
L. Trossard
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Exequiel Palacios
60′
🔁 M. Tillman
↦ M. Terrier
60′
🔁 M. Culbreath
↦ E. Poku
2–0 D. Rice ⚽
63′
C. Norgaard 🔁
↦ M. Zubimendi
68′
K. Havertz 🔁
↦ E. Eze
69′
G. Martinelli 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
69′
C. Mosquera 🔁
↦ B. White
69′
70′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ E. Palacios
83′
🔁 E. Fernandez
↦ R. Andrich
M. Lewis-Skelly 🔁
↦ V. Gyökeres
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 D. Raya G
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel D
5 P. Hincapie D
36 M. Zubimendi M
41 D. Rice M
7 B. Saka M
10 E. Eze M
19 L. Trossard M
14 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (11)
13 K. Arrizabalaga
79 K. Ranson
9 Gabriel Jesus
29 K. Havertz
20 N. Madueke
11 G. Martinelli
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
3 C. Mosquera
56 M. Dowman
16 C. Norgaard
33 R. Calafiori

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
28 J. Blaswich G
4 J. Quansah D
8 R. Andrich D
12 E. Tapsoba D
19 E. Poku M
25 E. Palacios M
24 A. Garcia M
20 A. Grimaldo M
11 M. Terrier F
30 I. Maza F
35 C. Kofane F
Bench (9)
18 J. Omlin
36 N. Lomb
14 P. Schick
6 E. Fernandez
15 T. Oermann
7 J. Hofmann
10 M. Tillman
42 M. Culbreath
16 A. Tape

Coach: Kasper Hjulmand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.