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Champions League
Referee: M Mariani
Ath Madrid
U S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,3
Scored
1,7
3,2
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 40%
57%
22%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
86%
89%
Both score Ø 82%
86%
78%
Average goals
4,1
3,8
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,18 xG 1,88
65% Possession 35%
27 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Madrid Bodo/Glimt
1–0 A. Sorloth ⚽
D. Hancko
15′
34′
⚽ F. Sjovold 1–1
F. Bjorkan
Half-time 1–1
M. Ruggeri 🔁
↦ J. M. Gimenez
57′
T. Almada 🔁
↦ A. Baena
57′
59′
⚽ K. Hogh 1–2
Marcos Llorente 🟨
64′
J. Cardoso 🔁
↦ Koke
64′
N. Molina 🔁
↦ N. Gonzalez
64′
67′
🟨 Nikita Haikin
74′
🔁 S. Auklend
↦ O. Blomberg
R. Le Normand 🔁
↦ P. Barrios
78′
83′
🔁 A. Helmersen
↦ K. Hogh
83′
🔁 I. Maatta
↦ S. Fet
Thiago Almada 🟨
85′
90′
🔁 H. Aleesami
↦ J. Gundersen
90′
🔁 A. Klynge
↦ H. Evjen
95′
🟨 Isak Dybvik Määttä
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
14 M. Llorente D
18 M. Pubill D
2 J. M. Gimenez D
17 D. Hancko D
10 A. Baena M
8 P. Barrios M
6 Koke M
23 N. Gonzalez M
19 J. Alvarez F
9 A. Sorloth F
Bench (9)
1 J. Musso
31 S. Esquivel
3 M. Ruggeri
5 J. Cardoso
11 T. Almada
15 C. Lenglet
16 N. Molina
20 G. Simeone
24 R. Le Normand

Coach: Diego Simeone

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
20 F. Sjovold D
4 O. L. Bjortuft D
6 J. Gundersen D
15 F. Bjorkan D
26 H. Evjen M
7 P. Berg M
19 S. Fet M
11 O. Blomberg F
9 K. Hogh F
10 J. Hauge F
Bench (11)
1 J. Lund
45 I. Sjong
2 V. Nielsen
5 H. Aleesami
8 S. Auklend
21 A. Helmersen
22 A. Klynge
23 M. Riisnaes
24 D. Bassi
25 I. Maatta
31 H. Chooly

Coach: Kjetil Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.