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Conference League
Referee: J Vergoote
Universitatea Craiova
S T U S S
1–2
Full-time
Sparta Praha
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Universitatea Craiova Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,05 xG 1,55
41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Universitatea Craiova Sparta Praha
10′
🟨 Ángelo Preciado
Monday Etim ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
37′
Half-time 0–1
50′
⚽ A. Rrahmani 0–1
L. Haraslin
53′
🟨 Asger Sørensen
S. Nsimba 🔁
↦ A. Mekvabishvili
57′
67′
🔁 S. Eneme
↦ S. Mannsverk
67′
🔁 J. Kuchta
↦ A. Rrahmani
L. Basceanu 🔁
↦ M. Etim
71′
L. Houri 🔁
↦ Teles
72′
72′
🔁 V. Birmancevic
↦ L. Haraslin
1–1 S. Nsimba ⚽
A. Cretu
79′
N. Stevanovic 🔁
↦ S. Baiaram
82′
84′
🔁 G. Kuol
↦ J. Mercado
89′
⚽ M. Rynes 1–2
A. Preciado
91′
🟨 Garang Kuol
Oleksandr Romanchuk 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Universitatea Craiova

3-4-3
77 P. Isenko G
3 O. Romanchuk D
28 A. Rus D
15 J. Badelj D
19 V. Mogos M
4 A. Cretu M
5 A. Mekvabishvili M
23 Teles M
20 A. Cicaldau F
12 M. Etim F
10 S. Baiaram F
Bench (10)
1 S. J. Lung
21 L. Popescu
2 F. Stefan
9 A. Al Hamlawi
14 L. Houri
24 N. Stevanovic
29 L. Basceanu
30 D. Matei
38 D. Muntean
39 S. Nsimba

Coach: Filipe Coelho

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
26 P. Vydra D
25 A. Sorensen D
19 A. Sevinsky D
17 A. Preciado M
20 S. Mannsverk M
6 K. Kairinen M
11 M. Rynes M
7 J. Mercado F
9 A. Rrahmani F
22 L. Haraslin F
Bench (12)
44 J. Surovcik
27 F. Panak
30 J. Zeleny
2 M. Suchomel
3 P. Kaderabek
18 L. Sadilek
5 S. Eneme
52 O. Penxa
14 V. Birmancevic
36 G. Kuol
10 J. Kuchta
28 K. Milla

Coach: Brian Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.