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Conference League
Referee: S Gishamer
AZ Alkmaar
S S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Sparta Praha
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 66%
64%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
57%
58%
Both score Ø 32%
21%
42%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
0,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,04 xG 0,97
56% Possession 44%
27 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Sparta Praha
1–0 T. Parrott ⚽
R. Daal
29′
32′
🔁 E. Uchenna
↦ M. Rynes
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Mannsverk
↦ F. Panak
46′
🔁 J. Mercado
↦ G. Kuol
48′
🟨 Kaan Kairinen
Denso Kasius 🟨
49′
50′
⚽ M. Vojta 1–1
A. Irving
E. Dijkstra 🔁
↦ D. Kasius
59′
Weslley Patati 🔁
↦ I. Jensen
69′
76′
🔁 P. Kaderabek
↦ L. Haraslin
76′
🔁 J. Kuchta
↦ M. Vojta
79′
🟨 Jaroslav Zelený
2–1 T. Parrott ⚽
R. Daal
87′
95′
🟨 Pavel Kadeřábek
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
30 D. Kasius D
3 W. Goes D
5 Penetra D
34 M. de Wit D
6 P. Koopmeiners M
26 K. Smit M
10 S. Mijnans M
17 I. Jensen F
9 T. Parrott F
27 R. Daal F
Bench (12)
12 H. Verhulst
31 D. Deen
18 R. Ichihara
23 B. van Duijl
24 A. Oufkir
19 J. Hornkamp
11 I. Sadiq
33 M. Sin
7 Weslley Patati
35 M. Meerdink
22 E. Dijkstra
74 K. Boogaard

Coach: Leeroy Echteld

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
44 J. Surovcik G
19 A. Sevinsky D
27 F. Panak D
30 J. Zeleny D
17 O. Sonne M
18 A. Irving M
6 K. Kairinen M
11 M. Rynes M
36 G. Kuol F
29 M. Vojta F
22 L. Haraslin F
Bench (8)
61 D. Kerl
60 P. Rodriguez
3 P. Kaderabek
10 J. Kuchta
20 S. Mannsverk
16 E. Uchenna
7 J. Mercado
38 H. Sochurek

Coach: Brian Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.